Open Pop Culture Polymarket

Who will die in Avengers: Doomsday?

Top outcomes

Thor 63%
Loki 60%
Spider-Man 58%
Captain America (Sam Wilson) 44%

Avengers: Doomsday is scheduled to premiere on December 18, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified character dies during "Avengers: Doomsday". Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying death must show the specified character dead on screen, or otherwise that character’s death must clearly be stated to have occurred, even if offscreen (e.g., characters confirm their death in conversation, the funeral of a character occurs, etc.). If a death is reversed through a revival, resurrection, or reanimation that occurs after the character has died, that death will still qualify. Deaths occurring in any timeline or dimension depicted in "Avengers: Doomsday" will count toward resolution. Flashback scenes showing a character alive before their death, as well as dream sequences, hallucinations, or visions of dead characters, will not affect resolution. Characters who are confirmed dead before "Avengers: Doomsday" begins during the film will not count toward this market’s resolution.. If a character’s fate is deliberately left ambiguous, it will not qualify toward the resolution of this market. Only deaths confirmed by the end of "Avengers: Doomsday" will qualify. Only events depicted in the official "Avengers: Doomsday" film will count toward resolution. Post-credits scenes count if they are part of the official film, but supplementary materials such as podcasts, comics, books, or other media do not count unless they are explicitly referenced within the film itself. The market will resolve according to the initial theatrical release of "Avengers: Doomsday". If no theatrical release occurs by January 31, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

$13K Vol. Closes Jul 18, 2026

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$12.7k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$13K Vol.

Thor

63% market probability

63%

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0 / 2,000

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Loki

60% market probability

60%

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0 / 2,000

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Spider-Man

58% market probability

58%

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0 / 2,000

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Captain America (Sam Wilson)

44% market probability

44%

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0 / 2,000

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Shang-Chi

36% market probability

36%

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0 / 2,000

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Steve Rogers

35% market probability

35%

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0 / 2,000

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Doctor Strange

26% market probability

26%

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0 / 2,000

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Ant-Man

24% market probability

24%

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0 / 2,000

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Doctor Doom

24% market probability

24%

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0 / 2,000

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