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Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...? Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? Los Angeles Mayoral Election US military action against Cuba by...? Which party will win the Senate in 2026? Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? California Governor Election Winner F1 Drivers' Champion Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...? Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...? Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...? Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 Fed Decision in October? Presidential Election Winner 2028 LALIGA: 2027 Champion
Open Science & Tech Polymarket

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?

Top outcomes

November 30, 2026 78%
Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster? 52%
Successful splash down? 48%
Chopsticks catch Starship? 44%

This is a market on the outcome of the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15.

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$32K Vol. Closes Jul 1, 2027

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$32.0k Vol.

All outcomes

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$32K Vol.

November 30, 2026

78% market probability

78%

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0 / 2,000

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Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster?

52% market probability

52%

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Successful splash down?

48% market probability

48%

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Chopsticks catch Starship?

44% market probability

44%

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November 15, 2026

42% market probability

42%

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Super Heavy booster explodes?

20% market probability

20%

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October 31, 2026

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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