Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Pennsylvania Governor Election Winner

Josh Shapiro (D) 98% Yes No
Stacy Garrity (R) 2% Yes No
$57K Vol.
Polymarket

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...?

December 31, 2026 12% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No
$57K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Who will Trump meet with by October 31?

Elon Musk 100% Yes No
Sam Altman 20% Yes No

+15 more outcomes

$57K Vol.
Polymarket

Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

October 31 2% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$56K Vol.
Polymarket

Women's Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Alexia Putellas 93% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+39 more outcomes

$56K Vol.
Polymarket

LA28 Olympics run as scheduled?

No 15%
Yes 85%
$56K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Next Regional Board Chair of Gävleborg?

Eva Lindberg 91% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+32 more outcomes

$56K Vol.
Polymarket

Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026?

2.5-3.0% 34% Yes No
3.0-3.5% 32% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$56K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

UEFA Europa League: League Phase Winner

Other 50% Yes No
Team A 50% Yes No

+40 more outcomes

$55K Vol.
Polymarket

FL-22 House Election Winner

Pia Dandiya (D) 55% Yes No
Casey Askar (R) 46% Yes No
$55K Vol.
Polymarket

Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?

No 59%
Yes 41%
$55K Vol.
Polymarket

US lifts CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by...?

December 31 42% Yes No
October 31 12% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$55K Vol.
Polymarket

Next England National Team Head Coach

Other 50% Yes No
Manager A 50% Yes No

+25 more outcomes

$55K Vol.
Polymarket

TX-08 House Election Winner

Jessica Hart Steinmann (R) 96% Yes No
Laura Jones (D) 4% Yes No
$55K Vol.
Polymarket

Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?

No release by October 31 94% Yes No
October 18 2% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

$55K Vol.
Polymarket

Xi meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by...?

December 31 97% Yes No
October 31 1% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$55K Vol.
Polymarket

Who will attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?

Harry Kane 96% Yes No
Ousmane Dembélé 95% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$54K Vol.
Polymarket

SC-03 House Election Winner

Sheri Biggs (R) 96% Yes No
Eunice Lehmacher (D) 3% Yes No
$54K Vol.
Polymarket

Esports Awards 2026: Esports Game of the Year

League of Legends 58% Yes No
A 50% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$54K Vol.
Polymarket Esports

NM-03 House Election Winner

Teresa Leger Fernández (D) 97% Yes No
Martin Zamora (R) 3% Yes No
$54K Vol.
Polymarket

Pro Football: Tyreek Hill Next Team

Kansas City Chiefs 59% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+33 more outcomes

$54K Vol.
Polymarket

Precipitation in Hong Kong in October?

70-120mm 84% Yes No
120-210mm 8% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$54K Vol.
Polymarket

TX-35 House Election Winner

Johnny Garcia (D) 58% Yes No
Carlos De La Cruz (R) 40% Yes No
$53K Vol.
Polymarket

AZ-03 House Election Winner

Yassamin Ansari (D) 99% Yes No
Republican Party 1% Yes No
$53K Vol.
Polymarket