Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$77K Vol.
Polymarket

2026 World GDP Growth

3.0% 30% Yes No
3.1% 30% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$77K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026

2.0-2.4% 89% Yes No
≤1.9% 6% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$76K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

First to list tokenized stocks in the US?

Robinhood 40% Yes No
Coinbase 23% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$76K Vol.
Polymarket

Who will be the top-selling artist by total auction sales in 2026?

Pablo Picasso 82% Yes No
Other 18% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$76K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Will Russia capture Svitle by...?

October 31 14% Yes No
August 31 0% Yes No
$76K Vol.
Polymarket

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?

Google 53% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+32 more outcomes

$76K Vol.
Polymarket

PA-16 House Election Winner

Mike Kelly (R) 96% Yes No
Justin Wagner (D) 4% Yes No
$76K Vol.
Polymarket

NHL: Players to Record 80+ Points

Connor McDavid 96% Yes No
Nathan MacKinnon 95% Yes No

+99 more outcomes

$75K Vol.
Polymarket

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?

Anthropic 55% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+32 more outcomes

$75K Vol.
Polymarket

New Mexico Governor Election Winner

Deb Haaland (D) 94% Yes No
Gregg Hull (R) 6% Yes No
$75K Vol.
Polymarket

China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?

4.3-4.6% 78% Yes No
4.6-4.9% 14% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$75K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

October 31 0% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$75K Vol.
Polymarket

NM-02 House Election Winner

Gabe Vasquez (D) 92% Yes No
Greg Cunningham (R) 8% Yes No
$74K Vol.
Polymarket

GPU rental prices (H100) end of 2026?

$3.00-$3.50 18% Yes No
$2.50-$3.00 18% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$74K Vol.
Polymarket

José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$74K Vol.
Polymarket

Esports Awards: Esports Content Creator of the Year

A 50% Yes No
B 50% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$73K Vol.
Polymarket Esports

MO-04 House Election Winner

Mark Alford (R) 96% Yes No
Jordan Herrera (D) 3% Yes No
$73K Vol.
Polymarket

VA-01 House Election Winner

Shannon Taylor (D) 55% Yes No
Rob Wittman (R) 46% Yes No
$72K Vol.
Polymarket

The Game Awards: Best Independent Game

Other 50% Yes No
Game A 50% Yes No

+49 more outcomes

$72K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Israeli Legislative Election: 3rd Place

Together 84% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+37 more outcomes

$72K Vol.
Polymarket

Ilhan Omar federally charged by...?

December 31 24% Yes No
October 31 4% Yes No
$72K Vol.
Polymarket

Top Spotify Album 2026

Debí Tirar Más Fotos 92% Yes No
You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo 3% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$71K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Will Russia enter Stavky by...?

December 31 13% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$71K Vol.
Polymarket