Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Justin Aguiar convicted of sexual assault before 2027?

No 82%
Yes 18%
$53K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Tlaxcala Governor Election Winner

Other 50% Yes No
Candidate A 50% Yes No

+38 more outcomes

$53K Vol.
Polymarket

Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?

National + ACT + NZF 43% Yes No
Labour + Green 20% Yes No

+16 more outcomes

$52K Vol.
Polymarket

Which countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31?

Kuwait 23% Yes No
Qatar 12% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$52K Vol.
Polymarket

SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?

No 78%
Yes 22%
$52K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Third-best AI Lab end of September?

Other 50% Yes No
Company A 50% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

$52K Vol.
Polymarket

Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?

Goldman Sachs 62% Yes No
Morgan Stanley 36% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$52K Vol.
Polymarket

How many Emmys will “Beef” win?

2-3 55% Yes No
0-1 37% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$52K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

LA28 Olympics run as scheduled?

No 14%
Yes 86%
$51K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Bank of Mexico Decision in September?

No change 97% Yes No
25 bps decrease 2% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$51K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

No change 87% Yes No
25 bps increase 14% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$51K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Goiás

Flavio Bolsonaro 82% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+38 more outcomes

$51K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by...?

December 31 46% Yes No
September 30 12% Yes No
$51K Vol.
Polymarket

Lacy and Marlon # of Fortnite deaths during marathon?

<100 76% Yes No
100-199 11% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$51K Vol.
Polymarket

Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?

↑ 6.20% 100% Yes No
↑ 6.30% 100% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$51K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?

$518K - $524K 35% Yes No
$512K - $518K 31% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$51K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

CA-24 House Election Winner

Democratic Party 98% Yes No
Republican Party 2% Yes No
$51K Vol.
Polymarket

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held

PL 90% Yes No
MDB 4% Yes No

+10 more outcomes

$51K Vol.
Polymarket

AZ-03 House Election Winner

Democratic Party 98% Yes No
Republican Party 0% Yes No
$51K Vol.
Polymarket

Discord IPO Closing Market Cap

11–14B 25% Yes No
8–11B 24% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$50K Vol.
Polymarket

Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie

Carey Mulligan – “Beef” 42% Yes No
Sarah Snook – “All Her Fault” 24% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$50K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

People's Bank of China rate change by September 30?

No Change 95% Yes No
Decrease 5% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$50K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Bank of England rate hike in 2026?

No 41%
Yes 59%
$50K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Bitcoin price on September 4?

80,000-82,000 38% Yes No
78,000-80,000 26% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$50K Vol.
Polymarket