Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?

No 84%
Yes 16%
$100K Vol.
Polymarket

Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

October 31 1% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$100K Vol.
Polymarket

Elon Musk # tweets October 20 - October 27, 2026?

240-259 14% Yes No
200-219 12% Yes No

+28 more outcomes

$99K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

MN-06 House Election Winner

Tom Emmer (R) 95% Yes No
Doug Chapin (D) 2% Yes No
$99K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Jumper launch a token by ___?

December 31, 2027 98% Yes No
June 30, 2027 95% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$98K Vol.
Polymarket

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?

25 bps increase 72% Yes No
No change 28% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$98K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Pro Football: NFC North Champion

Minnesota Vikings 43% Yes No
Chicago Bears 24% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$98K Vol.
Polymarket

Clavicular sentenced to prison by...?

December 31, 2027 20% Yes No
December 31, 2026 6% Yes No
$97K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Tennessee Senate Election Winner

Bill Hagerty (R) 96% Yes No
Marquita Bradshaw (D) 4% Yes No
$97K Vol.
Polymarket

TX-23 House Election Winner

Brandon Herrera (R) 72% Yes No
Katy Padilla Stout (D) 29% Yes No
$97K Vol.
Polymarket

Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner

Mark Sutcliffe 90% Yes No
Jeff Leiper 5% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$97K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture Novodmytrivka by...?

December 31 16% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$97K Vol.
Polymarket

Another pneumonic plague case in Russia by...?

October 31, 2026 2% Yes No
October 15, 2026 0% Yes No
$96K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by...?

December 31 16% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$96K Vol.
Polymarket

What price will Bitcoin hit on October 20?

↓ 82,000 100% Yes No
↓ 81,000 48% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$96K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by...?

October 31 8% Yes No
August 31 0% Yes No
$96K Vol.
Polymarket

Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?

Other 50% Yes No
Person I 50% Yes No

+32 more outcomes

$96K Vol.
Polymarket

Who will perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?

Jay Z 81% Yes No
Miley Cyrus 42% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$96K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Which parties will be part of the next government of Romania?

PSD 99% Yes No
UDMR 2% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$96K Vol.
Polymarket

Guerrero Governor Election Winner

Beatriz Mojica Morga 88% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+53 more outcomes

$95K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$95K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

South Africa Annual Inflation 2026

>5.0% 84% Yes No
4.7-5.0% 7% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$95K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by...?

December 31 18% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$95K Vol.
Polymarket

MT-01 House Election Winner

Aaron Flint (R) 66% Yes No
Sam Forstag (D) 34% Yes No
$94K Vol.
Polymarket