Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of July?

Moonshot 75% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+27 more outcomes

$39K Vol.
Polymarket

CA-44 House Election Winner

Democratic Party 94% Yes No
Republican Party 2% Yes No
$39K Vol.
Polymarket

Bank of Russia decision in September?

No Change 70% Yes No
Decrease 26% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$39K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Ángela Aguilar & Christian Nodal split in 2026?

No 61%
Yes 39%
$38K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie

Oscar Isaac – “Beef” 60% Yes No
Riz Ahmed – “Bait” 18% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$38K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

What will Trump say this week? (July 20 - July 26)

Egg 100% Yes No
Fraud 100% Yes No

+29 more outcomes

$37K Vol.
Polymarket

What will the median home value in Chicago Metro be on September 30?

$335K - $340K 36% Yes No
$345K+ 22% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$37K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?

No 40%
Yes 60%
$37K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Top Album 2026

Arirang - BTS 32% Yes No
The Romantic - Bruno Mars 5% Yes No

+10 more outcomes

$36K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

August 31 7% Yes No
July 31 1% Yes No
$36K Vol.
Polymarket

Bitcoin above ___ on July 28?

56,000 100% Yes No
58,000 99% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$36K Vol.
Polymarket

Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series

“Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” 42% Yes No
“Jimmy Kimmel Live!” 27% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$36K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

NBA: LeBron to Sign With Former Team?

No 100%
Yes 0%
$36K Vol.
Polymarket

Where will Vinicius Junior transfer?

Real Madrid 64% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+17 more outcomes

$35K Vol.
Polymarket

GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?

$5.50-$6.00 36% Yes No
$6.50-$7.00 20% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$35K Vol.
Polymarket

Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by July 31?

1800+ 100% Yes No
2000+ 100% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$35K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

GTA VI released before November 2026?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$34K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

2026 Bangsamoro Parliament Election: Party Winner

UBJP 71% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+49 more outcomes

$34K Vol.
Polymarket

AL-03 House Election Winner

Republican Party 94% Yes No
Democratic Party 3% Yes No
$34K Vol.
Polymarket

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in August

No change 65% Yes No
25 bps increase 35% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$34K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

A Toxic Love Story 84% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+16 more outcomes

$32K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Who will die in The Witcher: Season 5?

Vilgefortz 90% Yes No
Yennefer of Vengerberg 84% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$32K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Precipitation in NYC in July?

4-5" 41% Yes No
5-6" 38% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$32K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

What will the median home value in Miami be on September 30?

$1.089M - $1.125M 36% Yes No
$1.125M - $1.161M 36% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$32K Vol.
Polymarket Economy