Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...? Los Angeles Mayoral Election Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...? Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Crude Oil all time high by...? Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms F1 Drivers' Champion Xi Jinping out before 2027? US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...? What price will Ethereum hit in 2026? US military action against Cuba by...? Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Iran leadership change by...? Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? Fed rate cut by...? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...? Los Angeles Mayoral Election Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...? Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Crude Oil all time high by...? Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms F1 Drivers' Champion Xi Jinping out before 2027? US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...? What price will Ethereum hit in 2026? US military action against Cuba by...? Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Iran leadership change by...? Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? Fed rate cut by...? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Open Crypto Polymarket

Surf FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Top outcomes

$50M 84%
$100M 54%
$200M 50%
$300M 42%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Surf's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Surf (https://x.com/SurfAI) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

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$110K Vol. Closes Jan 1, 2028

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$110.2k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$110K Vol.

$50M

84% market probability

84%

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0 / 2,000

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$100M

54% market probability

54%

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0 / 2,000

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$200M

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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$300M

42% market probability

42%

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0 / 2,000

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$500M

26% market probability

26%

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0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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