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Crypto
Polymarket
Surf FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Top outcomes
$50M
62%
$100M
60%
$200M
38%
$300M
28%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Surf's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.
The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.
"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Surf (https://x.com/SurfAI) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
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$103K Vol.
Closes Jan 1, 2028
Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$103.1k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$103K Vol.
$50M
62% market probability
62%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 62%
+38 / −62
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 38%
+62 / −38
$100M
60% market probability
60%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 60%
+40 / −60
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 40%
+60 / −40
Explain your Yes on $100M
Explain your No on $100M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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$200M
38% market probability
38%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 38%
+62 / −38
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 62%
+38 / −62
Explain your Yes on $200M
Explain your No on $200M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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$300M
28% market probability
28%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 28%
+72 / −28
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 72%
+28 / −72
Explain your Yes on $300M
Explain your No on $300M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
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$500M
26% market probability
26%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 26%
+74 / −26
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 74%
+26 / −74
Explain your Yes on $500M
Explain your No on $500M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
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