Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Kraken IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$26B 5% Yes No
$24B 4% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$149K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$148K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by...?

December 31 42% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$147K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Phantom launch a token by ___?

December 31, 2027 20% Yes No
December 31, 2026 6% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$146K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Will Kraken's valuation hit __ by December 31?

↓$9B 100% Yes No
↓$10B 100% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$146K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Will Iran target Qatar by...?

October 31 3% Yes No
August 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$146K Vol.
Polymarket

Arizona Governor Election Winner

Katie Hobbs (D) 90% Yes No
Andy Biggs (R) 9% Yes No
$146K Vol.
Polymarket

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November

No change 84% Yes No
25 bps increase 15% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$146K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Trump renames New Mexico to New America by...?

December 31 2% Yes No
September 30 0% Yes No
$146K Vol.
Polymarket

Which artists will release a new song in 2026?

BTS 100% Yes No
SZA 100% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$145K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by...?

December 31 27% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$145K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by...?

December 31 3% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$145K Vol.
Polymarket

Houthis seize an oil tanker by...?

October 31 6% Yes No
September 15 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$145K Vol.
Polymarket

Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

50%+ 100% Yes No
55%+ 76% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$143K Vol.
Polymarket

Top US Spotify Artist 2026

Drake 84% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+44 more outcomes

$143K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

No 95%
Yes 5%
$143K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

CA-28 House Election Winner

Judy Chu (D) 98% Yes No
April Verlato (R) 2% Yes No
$142K Vol.
Polymarket

Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?

1525 100% Yes No
1550 100% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$142K Vol.
Polymarket

Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by...?

December 31, 2026 18% Yes No
August 6, 2026 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$142K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Xi meet with Takaichi by...?

December 31 76% Yes No
October 31 1% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$141K Vol.
Polymarket

U.K. Annual Inflation 2026

3.5–3.9% 61% Yes No
3.0–3.4% 22% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$140K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?

No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate 61% Yes No
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate 34% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$140K Vol.
Polymarket

Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31?

Joe Biden 100% Yes No
Ilhan Omar 100% Yes No

+39 more outcomes

$140K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by...?

December 31 3% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$140K Vol.
Polymarket