Open Crypto Polymarket

Kraken IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

Top outcomes

$16B 12%
$18B 12%
$24B 8%
$22B 6%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for Krakens’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Kraken’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.

$138K Vol. Closes Jan 1, 2027

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$138.0k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$138K Vol.

$16B

12% market probability

12%

Explain your Yes on $16B Explain your No on $16B (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

$18B

12% market probability

12%

Explain your Yes on $18B Explain your No on $18B (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

$24B

8% market probability

8%

Explain your Yes on $24B Explain your No on $24B (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

$22B

6% market probability

6%

Explain your Yes on $22B Explain your No on $22B (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

$20B

6% market probability

6%

Explain your Yes on $20B Explain your No on $20B (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

$26B

6% market probability

6%

Explain your Yes on $26B Explain your No on $26B (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

$28B

5% market probability

5%

Explain your Yes on $28B Explain your No on $28B (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Public forecast history

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