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Kraken IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

Top outcomes

$18B 28%
$16B 26%
$20B 24%
$24B 21%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for Krakens’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Kraken’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.

$122K Vol. Closes Jan 1, 2027

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$122.2k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$122K Vol.

$18B

28% market probability

28%

Explain your Yes on $18B Explain your No on $18B (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

$16B

26% market probability

26%

Explain your Yes on $16B Explain your No on $16B (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

$20B

24% market probability

24%

Explain your Yes on $20B Explain your No on $20B (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

$24B

21% market probability

21%

Explain your Yes on $24B Explain your No on $24B (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

$22B

17% market probability

17%

Explain your Yes on $22B Explain your No on $22B (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

$26B

14% market probability

14%

Explain your Yes on $26B Explain your No on $26B (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

$28B

10% market probability

10%

Explain your Yes on $28B Explain your No on $28B (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Public forecast history

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