Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$201K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?

12-15 83% Yes No
16-19 5% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$199K Vol.
Polymarket

What price will BNB hit in 2026?

↓ 700 100% Yes No
↓ 800 100% Yes No

+15 more outcomes

$199K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$198K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$198K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Pro Football: Team to Make Postseason

San Francisco 49ers 96% Yes No
Buffalo Bills 92% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

$196K Vol.
Polymarket Sports

How many UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?

2 90% Yes No
3 10% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$196K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$195K Vol.
Polymarket

MLB: NL Manager of the Year

Pat Murphy 86% Yes No
Walt Weiss 12% Yes No

+15 more outcomes

$193K Vol.
Polymarket Sports

Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by...?

December 31 19% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$193K Vol.
Polymarket

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?

No 95%
Yes 5%
$192K Vol.
Polymarket

Which characters will appear in Avengers: Doomsday?

Simu Liu as Shang-Chi 100% Yes No
Hayley Atwell as Peggy Carter 100% Yes No

+21 more outcomes

$190K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?

Audias Flores-Silva 100% Yes No
Ricardo Ruiz Velasco 21% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$190K Vol.
Polymarket

Will USDT market cap hit $200B by ___?

December 31, 2026 45% Yes No
December 31 0% Yes No
$190K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

F1: Action of the Year

Max Verstappen 53% Yes No
Kimi Antonelli 24% Yes No

+20 more outcomes

$190K Vol.
Polymarket Sports

Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?

1m 100% Yes No
1.1m 100% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$188K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?

↓ 8% 100% Yes No
↓ 7% 31% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$187K Vol.
Polymarket

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$186K Vol.
Polymarket

Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?

No 76%
Yes 24%
$186K Vol.
Polymarket

Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?

Drake 100% Yes No
Bad Bunny 100% Yes No

+26 more outcomes

$186K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Another NATO article 4 by...?

December 31 30% Yes No
October 31 6% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$184K Vol.
Polymarket

Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by ___?

December 31, 2026 36% Yes No
December 31 0% Yes No
$184K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Bank of Canada Decision in October?

No Change 82% Yes No
25 bps increase 18% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$183K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?

December 31, 2027 66% Yes No
September 30, 2027 16% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$181K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech