Open
Polymarket
UEFA EURO 2028: Winner
Top outcomes
Spain
22%
France
18%
England
16%
Germany
10%
This market will resolve according to the nation that wins the UEFA EURO 2028.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed nation to win the UEFA EURO 2028 per the rules of UEFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the UEFA EURO 2028 is cancelled, postponed after July 23, 2028, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Read more
Show less
$155K Vol.
Closes Jul 24, 2028
Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
Open on Polymarket ↗
The chart is view-only. Use Open on Polymarket above to visit the market — no trading on this platform.
$154.7k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$155K Vol.
Spain
22% market probability
22%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 22%
+78 / −22
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 78%
+22 / −78
France
18% market probability
18%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 18%
+82 / −18
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 82%
+18 / −82
Explain your Yes on France
Explain your No on France
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
England
16% market probability
16%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 16%
+84 / −16
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 84%
+16 / −84
Explain your Yes on England
Explain your No on England
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Germany
10% market probability
10%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 10%
+90 / −10
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 90%
+10 / −90
Explain your Yes on Germany
Explain your No on Germany
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Portugal
8% market probability
8%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 8%
+92 / −8
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 92%
+8 / −92
Explain your Yes on Portugal
Explain your No on Portugal
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Faroe Islands
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
Explain your Yes on Faroe Islands
Explain your No on Faroe Islands
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Norway
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
Explain your Yes on Norway
Explain your No on Norway
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Armenia
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
Explain your Yes on Armenia
Explain your No on Armenia
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Azerbaijan
5% market probability
5%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 5%
+95 / −5
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 95%
+5 / −95
Explain your Yes on Azerbaijan
Explain your No on Azerbaijan
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Netherlands
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Netherlands
Explain your No on Netherlands
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Albania
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Albania
Explain your No on Albania
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Lithuania
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Lithuania
Explain your No on Lithuania
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Andorra
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Andorra
Explain your No on Andorra
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Luxembourg
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Luxembourg
Explain your No on Luxembourg
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Kazakhstan
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Kazakhstan
Explain your No on Kazakhstan
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
North Macedonia
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on North Macedonia
Explain your No on North Macedonia
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Gibraltar
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Gibraltar
Explain your No on Gibraltar
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Italy
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Italy
Explain your No on Italy
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Cyprus
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Cyprus
Explain your No on Cyprus
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Latvia
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Latvia
Explain your No on Latvia
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Finland
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Finland
Explain your No on Finland
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Estonia
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on Estonia
Explain your No on Estonia
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Liechtenstein
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on Liechtenstein
Explain your No on Liechtenstein
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Kosovo
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on Kosovo
Explain your No on Kosovo
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Belgium
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on Belgium
Explain your No on Belgium
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Iceland
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on Iceland
Explain your No on Iceland
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Georgia
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on Georgia
Explain your No on Georgia
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Russia
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-27']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-27']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on Russia
Explain your No on Russia
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
San Marino
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-28']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-28']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on San Marino
Explain your No on San Marino
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Belarus
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-29']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-29']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on Belarus
Explain your No on Belarus
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Moldova
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-30']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-30']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Moldova
Explain your No on Moldova
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Malta
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-31']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-31']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Malta
Explain your No on Malta
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Romania
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-32']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-32']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Romania
Explain your No on Romania
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Israel
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-33']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-33']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Israel
Explain your No on Israel
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Slovenia
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-34']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-34']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Slovenia
Explain your No on Slovenia
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Switzerland
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-35']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-35']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Switzerland
Explain your No on Switzerland
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Bosnia and Herzegovina
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-36']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-36']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Bosnia and Herzegovina
Explain your No on Bosnia and Herzegovina
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Turkey
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-37']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-37']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Turkey
Explain your No on Turkey
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Croatia
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-38']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-38']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Croatia
Explain your No on Croatia
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Poland
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-39']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-39']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Poland
Explain your No on Poland
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Greece
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-40']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-40']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Greece
Explain your No on Greece
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Denmark
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-41']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-41']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Denmark
Explain your No on Denmark
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Sweden
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-42']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-42']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Sweden
Explain your No on Sweden
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Austria
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-43']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-43']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Austria
Explain your No on Austria
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Serbia
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-44']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-44']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Serbia
Explain your No on Serbia
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Hungary
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-45']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-45']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Hungary
Explain your No on Hungary
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Ukraine
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-46']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-46']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Ukraine
Explain your No on Ukraine
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Wales
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-47']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-47']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Wales
Explain your No on Wales
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Bulgaria
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-48']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-48']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Bulgaria
Explain your No on Bulgaria
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Scotland
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-49']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-49']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Scotland
Explain your No on Scotland
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Slovakia
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-50']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-50']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Slovakia
Explain your No on Slovakia
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Czech Republic
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-51']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-51']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Czech Republic
Explain your No on Czech Republic
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Republic of Ireland
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-52']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-52']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Republic of Ireland
Explain your No on Republic of Ireland
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Northern Ireland
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-53']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-53']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Northern Ireland
Explain your No on Northern Ireland
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Montenegro
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-54']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-54']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Montenegro
Explain your No on Montenegro
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Public forecast history
All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.
No forecasts yet. Be the first to place one.