Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

When will Bitcoin hit $150k?

by December 31, 2026 3% Yes No
by June 30, 2026 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$27.1M Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Israel closes its airspace by...?

August 31 55% Yes No
August 15 48% Yes No

+16 more outcomes

$24.1M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

No 90%
Yes 10%
$23.0M Vol.
Polymarket World

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Yulia Navalnaya 10% Yes No
UNRWA 8% Yes No

+18 more outcomes

$22.9M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

December 31 6% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$21.7M Vol.
Polymarket World

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Harry Kane 41% Yes No
Lamine Yamal 26% Yes No

+29 more outcomes

$20.4M Vol.
Polymarket Sports

Iran leadership change by...?

June 30, 2027 40% Yes No
December 31 28% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$20.3M Vol.
Polymarket World

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$20.0M Vol.
Polymarket World

MLS Cup Winner 2026

Inter Miami CF 29% Yes No
Vancouver Whitecaps FC 15% Yes No

+28 more outcomes

$19.5M Vol.
Polymarket Sports

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

June 30, 2027 16% Yes No
December 31, 2026 8% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$18.3M Vol.
Polymarket World

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

Cursor 100% Yes No
iRobot 100% Yes No

+17 more outcomes

$18.1M Vol.
Polymarket

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

December 31 14% Yes No
October 31 6% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$17.4M Vol.
Polymarket World

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$17.0M Vol.
Polymarket

What price will Bitcoin hit in July?

↑ 62,500 100% Yes No
↑ 65,000 100% Yes No

+20 more outcomes

$16.7M Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

United Russia (ER) 56% Yes No
New People (NL) 37% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$15.9M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Highest grossing movie in 2026?

Spider-Man: Brand New Day 80% Yes No
Avengers: Doomsday 12% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$15.7M Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Karen Bass 64% Yes No
Nithya Raman 38% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$13.0M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

July 31 2% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$12.1M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

No 95%
Yes 5%
$11.7M Vol.
Polymarket World

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

No 95%
Yes 5%
$11.5M Vol.
Polymarket World

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

December 31 30% Yes No
September 30 14% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$10.9M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

No 93%
Yes 7%
$10.5M Vol.
Polymarket World

Trump out as President before 2027?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$10.2M Vol.
Polymarket World

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

July 31 0% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$10.0M Vol.
Polymarket World