Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Plague pandemic in 2026?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$494K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Will Netanyahu be pardoned by...?

December 31 9% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$487K Vol.
Polymarket

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?

December 31, 2026 4% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$486K Vol.
Polymarket

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

December 31, 2026 26% Yes No
October 31, 2026 3% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$485K Vol.
Polymarket

What price will XRP hit in 2026?

↑ 2.40 100% Yes No
↓ 1.40 100% Yes No

+21 more outcomes

$482K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$479K Vol.
Polymarket

Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?

Oil ≥ $80; D Senate 62% Yes No
Oil ≥ $80; R Senate 31% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$478K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?

No 58%
Yes 42%
$476K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt?

Ulrich Siegmund 72% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+33 more outcomes

$476K Vol.
Polymarket

Consensys IPO by ___ ?

December 31, 2026 4% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$472K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

SBF released from custody in 2026?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$468K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?

Petr Yan 57% Yes No
Merab Dvalishvili 40% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$468K Vol.
Polymarket Sports

Will Russia capture Bilytske by...?

December 31 86% Yes No
October 31 24% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$467K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?

October 4 100% Yes No
October 5 100% Yes No

+27 more outcomes

$465K Vol.
Polymarket

AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

December 31, 2027 62% Yes No
December 31, 2026 22% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$464K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?

December 31 4% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$463K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Variational launch a token by ___ ?

December 31, 2026 82% Yes No
November 30, 2026 24% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$461K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?

December 31 9% Yes No
June 7 0% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$458K Vol.
Polymarket

Ohio Governor Election Winner

Amy Acton (D) 72% Yes No
Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 28% Yes No
$457K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture Sloviansk by...?

December 31 8% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$453K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by...?

December 31 18% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$452K Vol.
Polymarket

Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?

No 72%
Yes 28%
$451K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$451K Vol.
Polymarket

Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$449K Vol.
Polymarket