Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

No 91%
Yes 9%
$501K Vol.
Polymarket

Will MicroStrategy announce holding ___ BTC by December 31, 2026?

800k+ 100% Yes No
1M+ 12% Yes No
$498K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Will Exponent launch a token by ___?

December 31, 2027 53% Yes No
December 31, 2026 25% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$490K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

No 78%
Yes 22%
$490K Vol.
Polymarket

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

5-6 57% Yes No
<5 30% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$488K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Will Netanyahu be pardoned by...?

December 31 7% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$477K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by...?

July 31 8% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$474K Vol.
Polymarket

Reya FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$10M 70% Yes No
$40M 56% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$470K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?

December 31 10% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$461K Vol.
Polymarket

Minnesota Governor Republican Primary Winner

Mike Lindell 52% Yes No
Lisa Demuth 44% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$455K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture Sloviansk by...?

December 31 8% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$449K Vol.
Polymarket

SBF released from custody in 2026?

No 95%
Yes 5%
$445K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?

Petr Yan 60% Yes No
Merab Dvalishvili 26% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$443K Vol.
Polymarket Sports

Consensys IPO by ___ ?

December 31, 2026 10% Yes No
September 30, 2026 5% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$440K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

MLB: 2026 NL East Champion

Atlanta Braves 66% Yes No
Philadelphia Phillies 30% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$439K Vol.
Polymarket Sports

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31?

United States 12% Yes No
United Kingdom 2% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$437K Vol.
Polymarket

Iran invades Kuwait by...?

August 31 8% Yes No
July 31 2% Yes No
$436K Vol.
Polymarket

Abstract FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$200M 46% Yes No
$400M 35% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$434K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner

Mike Mazzei 82% Yes No
Genter Drummond 13% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$432K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?

No 70%
Yes 30%
$428K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$424K Vol.
Polymarket

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

December 31 46% Yes No
July 31 1% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$422K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

WNBA: Assists Per Game Leader

Alyssa Thomas 51% Yes No
Caitlin Clark 28% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$418K Vol.
Polymarket Sports

Total commitments for the RipCars public sale on MetaDAO

>1M 100% Yes No
>2M 100% Yes No

+29 more outcomes

$417K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto