Markets
All markets
Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.
NATO article 5 before 2027?
No
95%
Yes
5%
$283K Vol.
Polymarket
Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner
Pete Fry
59%
Yes
No
Ken Sim
40%
Yes
No
+11 more outcomes
$283K Vol.
Polymarket
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
No
90%
Yes
10%
$282K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by...?
December 31
5%
Yes
No
May 31
0%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$280K Vol.
Polymarket
Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?
Oil ≥ $85; D Senate
51%
Yes
No
Oil ≥ $85; R Senate
26%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$279K Vol.
Polymarket
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?
No
94%
Yes
6%
$274K Vol.
Polymarket
Minnesota Senate Election Winner
Peggy Flanagan (D)
88%
Yes
No
Michele Tafoya (R)
12%
Yes
No
$272K Vol.
Polymarket
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?
December 31
4%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
$268K Vol.
Polymarket
Russia military action against EU country by...?
December 31, 2027
22%
Yes
No
December 31, 2026
8%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$263K Vol.
Polymarket
North Carolina enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028
24%
Yes
No
December 31, 2027
16%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$261K Vol.
Polymarket
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by...?
December 31
41%
Yes
No
November 30
26%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$259K Vol.
Polymarket
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by...?
December 31
18%
Yes
No
July 31
0%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$257K Vol.
Polymarket
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?
No
98%
Yes
2%
$256K Vol.
Polymarket
Iowa Governor Election Winner
Rob Sand (D)
89%
Yes
No
Zach Lahn (R)
11%
Yes
No
$250K Vol.
Polymarket
US imports Russian diesel by...?
November 30
32%
Yes
No
October 31
5%
Yes
No
$249K Vol.
Polymarket
JD Vance out as VP by...?
December 31
4%
Yes
No
July 31
0%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$247K Vol.
Polymarket
New York Governor Election Winner
Kathy Hochul (D)
95%
Yes
No
Bruce Blakeman (R)
5%
Yes
No
$243K Vol.
Polymarket
Vermont Governor Election Winner
Phil Scott (R)
76%
Yes
No
Amanda Janoo (D)
24%
Yes
No
$239K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by...?
October 31
7%
Yes
No
May 31
0%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$238K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by...?
December 31
14%
Yes
No
May 31
0%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$236K Vol.
Polymarket
Georgia Senate Election Winner
Jon Ossoff (D)
96%
Yes
No
Mike Collins (R)
4%
Yes
No
$236K Vol.
Polymarket
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
No
94%
Yes
6%
$231K Vol.
Polymarket
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
No
99%
Yes
1%
$229K Vol.
Polymarket
Florida Senate Election Winner
Ashley Moody (R)
90%
Yes
No
Angie Nixon (D)
8%
Yes
No
$228K Vol.
Polymarket
Showing 193–216