Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

SAVE Act becomes law by...?

December 31 6% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$577K Vol.
Polymarket

Ohio enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 2028 26% Yes No
December 31, 2027 20% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$576K Vol.
Polymarket

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

No 76%
Yes 24%
$571K Vol.
Polymarket

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 94% Yes No
Marine Le Pen 92% Yes No

+44 more outcomes

$567K Vol.
Polymarket

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

No 95%
Yes 5%
$565K Vol.
Polymarket

Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?

No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026 88% Yes No
December 8% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$561K Vol.
Polymarket

Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

No 72%
Yes 28%
$549K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

US military draft authorized in 2026?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$544K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Israel annex any territory by...?

June 30, 2027 13% Yes No
March 31, 2027 10% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$536K Vol.
Polymarket

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

December 31 6% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$534K Vol.
Polymarket

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

Donald Brodie 18% Yes No
Stefan Brodie 17% Yes No

+26 more outcomes

$520K Vol.
Polymarket

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$514K Vol.
Polymarket

US Announces Diesel Export ban by...?

December 31 11% Yes No
October 31 2% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$510K Vol.
Polymarket

Who will be arrested before 2027?

John Brennan 20% Yes No
Mahmoud Khalil 18% Yes No

+22 more outcomes

$509K Vol.
Polymarket

Nevada Governor Election Winner

Aaron Ford (D) 57% Yes No
Joe Lombardo (R) 42% Yes No
$495K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Netanyahu be pardoned by...?

December 31 9% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$487K Vol.
Polymarket

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?

December 31, 2026 4% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$486K Vol.
Polymarket

Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt?

Ulrich Siegmund 71% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+33 more outcomes

$476K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture Bilytske by...?

December 31 84% Yes No
October 31 23% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$466K Vol.
Polymarket

EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?

December 31 4% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$463K Vol.
Polymarket

Ohio Governor Election Winner

Amy Acton (D) 72% Yes No
Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 28% Yes No
$457K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture Sloviansk by...?

December 31 7% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$453K Vol.
Polymarket

Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?

No 72%
Yes 28%
$451K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$449K Vol.
Polymarket