Markets
All markets
Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.
SAVE Act becomes law by...?
December 31
6%
Yes
No
May 31
0%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$577K Vol.
Polymarket
Ohio enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028
26%
Yes
No
December 31, 2027
20%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$576K Vol.
Polymarket
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
No
76%
Yes
24%
$571K Vol.
Polymarket
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
94%
Yes
No
Marine Le Pen
92%
Yes
No
+44 more outcomes
$567K Vol.
Polymarket
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
No
95%
Yes
5%
$565K Vol.
Polymarket
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026
88%
Yes
No
December
8%
Yes
No
+5 more outcomes
$561K Vol.
Polymarket
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
No
72%
Yes
28%
$549K Vol.
Polymarket
Pop Culture
US military draft authorized in 2026?
No
96%
Yes
4%
$544K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Israel annex any territory by...?
June 30, 2027
13%
Yes
No
March 31, 2027
10%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$536K Vol.
Polymarket
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
December 31
6%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$534K Vol.
Polymarket
Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
Donald Brodie
18%
Yes
No
Stefan Brodie
17%
Yes
No
+26 more outcomes
$520K Vol.
Polymarket
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
No
94%
Yes
6%
$514K Vol.
Polymarket
US Announces Diesel Export ban by...?
December 31
11%
Yes
No
October 31
2%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$510K Vol.
Polymarket
Who will be arrested before 2027?
John Brennan
20%
Yes
No
Mahmoud Khalil
18%
Yes
No
+22 more outcomes
$509K Vol.
Polymarket
Nevada Governor Election Winner
Aaron Ford (D)
57%
Yes
No
Joe Lombardo (R)
42%
Yes
No
$495K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by...?
December 31
9%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
$487K Vol.
Polymarket
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?
December 31, 2026
4%
Yes
No
June 30, 2026
0%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$486K Vol.
Polymarket
Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt?
Ulrich Siegmund
71%
Yes
No
Other
50%
Yes
No
+33 more outcomes
$476K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia capture Bilytske by...?
December 31
84%
Yes
No
October 31
23%
Yes
No
+7 more outcomes
$466K Vol.
Polymarket
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?
December 31
4%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
$463K Vol.
Polymarket
Ohio Governor Election Winner
Amy Acton (D)
72%
Yes
No
Vivek Ramaswamy (R)
28%
Yes
No
$457K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by...?
December 31
7%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
$453K Vol.
Polymarket
Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?
No
72%
Yes
28%
$451K Vol.
Polymarket
Pop Culture
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
No
97%
Yes
3%
$449K Vol.
Polymarket
Showing 145–168