Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Which Senate races will be within 5%?

Iowa 72% Yes No
Texas 70% Yes No

+17 more outcomes

$114K Vol.
Polymarket

Massachusetts Governor Election Winner

Maura Healey (D) 96% Yes No
Michael Minogue (R) 4% Yes No
$114K Vol.
Polymarket

Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?

No Next Chancellor before 2028 50% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+64 more outcomes

$113K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

No 24%
Yes 76%
$113K Vol.
Polymarket

Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory

Remain 40–60% 79% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$112K Vol.
Polymarket

Mexico Legislative Election Winner

Morena 85% Yes No
PAN 6% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$110K Vol.
Polymarket

OH-07 House Election Winner

Brian Poindexter (D) 83% Yes No
Max Miller (R) 16% Yes No
$109K Vol.
Polymarket

WI-05 House Election Winner

Scott Fitzgerald (R) 97% Yes No
Andrew Beck (D) 2% Yes No
$108K Vol.
Polymarket

Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$107K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by...?

December 31 10% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$106K Vol.
Polymarket

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?

No 95%
Yes 5%
$105K Vol.
Polymarket

AL-02 House Election Winner

Rhett Marques (R) 69% Yes No
Shomari Figures (D) 30% Yes No
$103K Vol.
Polymarket

CA-23 House Election Winner

Jay Obernolte (R) 98% Yes No
Tessa Lynn Hodge (D) 1% Yes No
$103K Vol.
Polymarket

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amazonas

Lula 62% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$103K Vol.
Polymarket

Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?

PSD 96% Yes No
PSD + AUR 2% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

$102K Vol.
Polymarket

OH-14 House Election Winner

David Joyce (R) 97% Yes No
Maria Jukic (D) 2% Yes No
$102K Vol.
Polymarket

Minnesota Governor Election Winner

Amy Klobuchar (D) 96% Yes No
Lisa Demuth (R) 5% Yes No
$101K Vol.
Polymarket

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place Abroad

Lula 65% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$101K Vol.
Polymarket

Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?

No 84%
Yes 16%
$100K Vol.
Polymarket

MN-06 House Election Winner

Tom Emmer (R) 96% Yes No
Doug Chapin (D) 2% Yes No
$99K Vol.
Polymarket

NY-21 House Election Winner

Anthony Constantino (R) 74% Yes No
Blake Gendebien (D) 26% Yes No
$98K Vol.
Polymarket

Tennessee Senate Election Winner

Bill Hagerty (R) 96% Yes No
Marquita Bradshaw (D) 4% Yes No
$97K Vol.
Polymarket

TX-23 House Election Winner

Brandon Herrera (R) 72% Yes No
Katy Padilla Stout (D) 28% Yes No
$96K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by...?

December 31 16% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$96K Vol.
Polymarket