Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on June 3?

$730 100% Yes No
$735 100% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$74K Vol.
Polymarket

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on May 28?

$74K Vol.
Polymarket

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on June 8?

$730 100% Yes No
$735 100% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$72K Vol.
Polymarket

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on June 9?

$715 100% Yes No
$720 100% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$72K Vol.
Polymarket

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on June 2?

$72K Vol.
Polymarket

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on June 1?

$70K Vol.
Polymarket

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on June 5?

$725 100% Yes No
$730 100% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$67K Vol.
Polymarket

Brazil Annual Inflation 2026

5.50-5.99% 27% Yes No
6.00-6.49% 25% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$65K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

3rd largest company end of June?

Apple 57% Yes No
Alphabet 40% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$63K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$63K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

India Annual Inflation 2026

4.50%+ 88% Yes No
3.75% to 4.49% 12% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$61K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?

No 74%
Yes 26%
$60K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on June 2?

$59K Vol.
Polymarket

Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by June 30?

↑ 1.8M 82% Yes No
↑ 1.9M 38% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$59K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 1 above___?

$185 100% Yes No
$190 100% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$55K Vol.
Polymarket

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Pause–Pause–Pause 90% Yes No
Other 5% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$54K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?

No 86%
Yes 14%
$53K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$53K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q2 2026?

4.6-4.9% 82% Yes No
4.9-5.2% 10% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$53K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Quantinuum IPO Closing Market Cap

$13B–$16B 100% Yes No
$25B+ 0% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$52K Vol.
Polymarket

SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?

No 70%
Yes 30%
$51K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?

No 57%
Yes 43%
$51K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?

↑ 6.20% 100% Yes No
↑ 6.30% 100% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$50K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Argentina Monthly Inflation - May

2.2–2.4% 68% Yes No
2.8–3.0% 29% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$50K Vol.
Polymarket Economy