Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Bank of England rate hike in 2026?

No 66%
Yes 34%
$46K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...?

December 31, 2026 64% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No
$45K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?

Goldman Sachs 57% Yes No
Morgan Stanley 36% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$44K Vol.
Polymarket

Trump signs housing bill by end of July?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$44K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

How many dissent at the July Fed meeting?

0 24% Yes No
1 24% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$44K Vol.
Polymarket

What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?

Balance Sheet 84% Yes No
Inflation 20+ times 82% Yes No

+31 more outcomes

$44K Vol.
Polymarket

3rd Largest Company end of August?

Alphabet 92% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+27 more outcomes

$42K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

July Inflation US - Monthly

≥0.1% 66% Yes No
0.0% 22% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$42K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will Argentina dollarize by...?

December 31, 2026 3% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No
$40K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

USD x Iranian rials End of July?

1.9M+ 78% Yes No
1.8-1.9M 17% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$40K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in August

No change 54% Yes No
25 bps increase 40% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$32K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

OPEC dissolves in 2026?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$31K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

What will the median home value in Miami be on September 30?

$1.089M - $1.125M 36% Yes No
$1.125M - $1.161M 23% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$31K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026?

1.0-1.5% 38% Yes No
1.5-2.0% 31% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$31K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

ECB rate cut in 2026?

No 90%
Yes 10%
$30K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

South Africa Annual Inflation 2026

4.1-4.4% 28% Yes No
3.8-4.1% 20% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$30K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by July 31?

↑ 1.7M 100% Yes No
↑ 1.8M 100% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$28K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

What will the median home value in Chicago Metro be on September 30?

$330K - $335K 35% Yes No
$335K - $340K 32% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$28K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

2026 World GDP Growth

≤2.9% 31% Yes No
3.0% 29% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$28K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

What will the median home value in the US be on September 30?

<$419K 41% Yes No
$419K - $426K 29% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$28K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Argentina Annual Inflation 2026

30.0-34.9% 42% Yes No
25-29.9% 36% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$28K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026

2.5–2.7% 26% Yes No
3.1%+ 26% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$28K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?

$6.00-$6.50 22% Yes No
$5.00-$5.50 22% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$27K Vol.
Polymarket

Bank of Brazil decision in September?

25 bps decrease 50% Yes No
No Change 46% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$27K Vol.
Polymarket Economy