Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Below 5.20% 46% Yes No
Below 5.15% 42% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$104K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

India Annual Inflation 2026

4.50%+ 98% Yes No
0.75% to 1.49% 1% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$103K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?

$7.00+ 76% Yes No
$6.00-$6.50 7% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$103K Vol.
Polymarket

Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?

↑ 6.20% 100% Yes No
↑ 6.30% 100% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$99K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$95K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?

25 bps increase 52% Yes No
No change 42% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$94K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

South Africa Annual Inflation 2026

>5.0% 79% Yes No
4.7-5.0% 12% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$93K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$92K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Bank of Russia decision in October?

No Change 88% Yes No
Decrease 10% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$91K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Bank of Israel Decision in October?

No Change 77% Yes No
Decrease 23% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$91K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will ByteDance's valuation hit __ by December 31?

↓$550B 100% Yes No
↑$650B 33% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$90K Vol.
Polymarket

Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?

Morgan Stanley 83% Yes No
Goldman Sachs 16% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$90K Vol.
Polymarket

Mexico Annual Inflation 2026

3.50% to 3.99% 60% Yes No
3.00% to 3.49% 13% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$85K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

RBC 3% Yes No
Citigroup 3% Yes No

+17 more outcomes

$83K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Argentina Annual Inflation 2026

30.0-34.9% 67% Yes No
25-29.9% 30% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$80K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?

Alphabet 65% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+28 more outcomes

$78K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

2026 World GDP Growth

3.0% 30% Yes No
3.1% 29% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$76K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026

2.0-2.4% 84% Yes No
2.5-2.9% 8% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$76K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?

4.3-4.6% 70% Yes No
4.6-4.9% 18% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$74K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

GPU rental prices (H100) end of 2026?

$3.00-$3.50 20% Yes No
$2.50-$3.00 18% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$73K Vol.
Polymarket

3rd Largest Company end of October?

Alphabet 71% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+27 more outcomes

$72K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026

0.8-1.1% 52% Yes No
1.2-1.5% 28% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$71K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Canada Annual Inflation 2026

3.0-3.4% 38% Yes No
3.5-3.9% 35% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$64K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026?

1.3%+ 44% Yes No
1.0-1.2% 41% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$63K Vol.
Polymarket Economy