Conflicts

US military action against Cuba by...?

December 31 14% Yes No

March 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$7.4M Vol.

Polymarket World

U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

No 95%

Yes 5%

$75K Vol.

Polymarket

US x China Military clash before 2027?

No 96%

Yes 4%

$201K Vol.

Polymarket

Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?

Audias Flores-Silva 100% Yes No

Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar 57% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$176K Vol.

Polymarket

Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?

Dopropillia 86% Yes No

Druzkhivka 48% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$958K Vol.

Polymarket World

Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

Venezuela 10% Yes No

Indonesia 10% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$748K Vol.

Polymarket

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31?

US 17% Yes No

Italy 16% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$38K Vol.

Polymarket

Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?

Maia Sandu 100% Yes No

Andy Burnham 100% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$356K Vol.

Polymarket

Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?

No 94%

Yes 6%

$325K Vol.

Polymarket

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?

No 92%

Yes 8%

$16K Vol.

Polymarket

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

December 31 4% Yes No

May 31 0% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$21.8M Vol.

Polymarket World

Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by...?

December 31 30% Yes No

October 31 25% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$140K Vol.

Polymarket

Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by...?

December 31 42% Yes No

September 30 10% Yes No

$48K Vol.

Polymarket

Will Russia capture Kupiansk by...?

December 31 23% Yes No

September 30 4% Yes No

$149K Vol.

Polymarket

Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by...?

December 31 48% Yes No

September 30 11% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$387K Vol.

Polymarket

Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by...?

December 31 18% Yes No

September 30 4% Yes No

$199K Vol.

Polymarket

Will Russia capture Orikhiv by...?

December 31 28% Yes No

September 30 6% Yes No

$188K Vol.

Polymarket

Will Russia capture Prymorske by...?

December 31 8% Yes No

September 30 2% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$115K Vol.

Polymarket

Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by...?

December 31 70% Yes No

September 30 14% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$169K Vol.

Polymarket

Will Russia capture Serhiivka by...?

December 31 8% Yes No

May 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$78K Vol.

Polymarket

Will Russia capture Vodianske by...?

December 31 44% Yes No

September 30 13% Yes No

$121K Vol.

Polymarket

Will Russia enter Dobropillia by...?

December 31 85% Yes No

October 31 74% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$327K Vol.

Polymarket

Will Russia enter Hannivka by...?

December 31 94% Yes No

September 30 78% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$56K Vol.

Polymarket

Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by...?

December 31 94% Yes No

September 30 68% Yes No

$166K Vol.

Polymarket