Conflicts

Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

September 30 2% Yes No

July 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$185K Vol.

Polymarket

Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

September 30 3% Yes No

July 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$55K Vol.

Polymarket

Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

September 30 2% Yes No

July 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$208K Vol.

Polymarket

Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

September 30 1% Yes No

July 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$71K Vol.

Polymarket

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

September 30 3% Yes No

July 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$98K Vol.

Polymarket

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

September 30 8% Yes No

September 15 3% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$953K Vol.

Polymarket World

Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by...?

September 30 32% Yes No

May 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$121K Vol.

Polymarket

Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by...?

September 30 8% Yes No

May 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$140K Vol.

Polymarket

Will Russia capture Novodmytrivka by...?

September 30 6% Yes No

July 31 0% Yes No

$94K Vol.

Polymarket

Will Russia capture Stavky by...?

September 30 7% Yes No

July 31 0% Yes No

$125K Vol.

Polymarket

Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by...?

September 30 15% Yes No

May 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$111K Vol.

Polymarket

Will Russia enter Moskovka by...?

October 31 60% Yes No

September 30 23% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$101K Vol.

Polymarket

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

October 31 34% Yes No

September 30 26% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$1.4M Vol.

Polymarket World

Another Iranian diplomat expelled by...?

October 31 18% Yes No

September 30 16% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$29K Vol.

Polymarket

Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by...?

October 31 33% Yes No

August 31 0% Yes No

$146K Vol.

Polymarket

Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by...?

October 31 40% Yes No

August 31 0% Yes No

$85K Vol.

Polymarket

Will Russia capture Shevchenko by...?

October 31 62% Yes No

August 31 0% Yes No

$55K Vol.

Polymarket

Will Russia capture Svitle by...?

October 31 29% Yes No

August 31 0% Yes No

$59K Vol.

Polymarket

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

May 31 0% Yes No

July 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$12.2M Vol.

Polymarket World

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

No 85%

Yes 15%

$301K Vol.

Polymarket

UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

No 95%

Yes 5%

$345K Vol.

Polymarket

UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

No 96%

Yes 4%

$112K Vol.

Polymarket

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

July 18 100% Yes No

July 20 100% Yes No

+21 more outcomes

$27.4M Vol.

Polymarket World

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

December 31 16% Yes No

October 31 6% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$1.3M Vol.

Polymarket World