Conflicts
Forecasts in Conflicts · World
36 open forecasts of 37 in World
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Cuban regime falls in 2026?
No
78%
Yes
22%
$441K Vol.
Polymarket
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Bahrain
36%
Yes
No
UAE
23%
Yes
No
+17 more outcomes
$391K Vol.
Polymarket
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
December 31
34%
Yes
No
October 31
20%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$381K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?
No
99%
Yes
1%
$321K Vol.
Polymarket
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?
20+
50%
Yes
No
40+
38%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$257K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia enter Svitle by...?
June 30
6%
Yes
No
May 31
0%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$162K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by...?
June 30
10%
Yes
No
May 31
0%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$88K Vol.
Polymarket
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?
No
98%
Yes
2%
$81K Vol.
Polymarket
Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?
Lebanon
18%
Yes
No
Saudi Arabia
12%
Yes
No
+14 more outcomes
$64K Vol.
Polymarket
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
No
90%
Yes
10%
$58K Vol.
Polymarket
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?
No
96%
Yes
4%
$34K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia capture Dorozhnie by...?
July 31
18%
Yes
No
June 30
12%
Yes
No
$26K Vol.
Polymarket
Showing 25–36 of 36