Politics

Elections, policy, and government

519 open forecasts

Events in Politics

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Houthis enter Aden by...?

December 31 26% Yes No
November 30 14% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$669K Vol.
Polymarket

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

4 63% Yes No
5 11% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$7.6M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?

December 31 10% Yes No
October 31 2% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$411K Vol.
Polymarket

Ilhan Omar arrested by...?

December 31 12% Yes No
October 31 6% Yes No
$38K Vol.
Polymarket

Ilhan Omar federally charged by...?

December 31 20% Yes No
October 31 7% Yes No
$91K Vol.
Polymarket

India strike on Pakistan by...?

December 31, 2026 10% Yes No
October 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$997K Vol.
Polymarket World

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$2.0M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

December 31 7% Yes No
October 31 1% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$18.2M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Iran Nuke before 2027?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$1.4M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

December 31, 2026 4% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No
$3.5M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)

December 31 25% Yes No
October 31 6% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$431K Vol.
Polymarket

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

December 31 13% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$2.9M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$174K Vol.
Polymarket

Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?

No 95%
Yes 5%
$13K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

JD Vance out as VP by...?

December 31 4% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$247K Vol.
Polymarket

Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by...?

December 31, 2026 18% Yes No
August 6, 2026 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$142K Vol.
Polymarket

Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$2.6M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

John Fetterman out by...?

December 31 3% Yes No
September 30 0% Yes No
$125K Vol.
Polymarket

José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?

No 95%
Yes 5%
$75K Vol.
Polymarket

Kash Patel out by...?

December 31 20% Yes No
October 31 3% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$1.8M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$202K Vol.
Polymarket

KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?

No 93%
Yes 7%
$274K Vol.
Polymarket

Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$107K Vol.
Polymarket

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

No 95%
Yes 5%
$565K Vol.
Polymarket