Politics

Elections, policy, and government

423 open forecasts

Events in Politics

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Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

December 31, 2026 8% Yes No
December 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$942K Vol.
Polymarket World

NATO article 5 before 2027?

No 93%
Yes 7%
$212K Vol.
Polymarket

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?

December 31, 2026 7% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$482K Vol.
Polymarket

Netanyahu out by...?

December 31 48% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$124.1M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)

Netanyahu - Israel PM 40% Yes No
None before 2027 36% Yes No

+20 more outcomes

$254K Vol.
Polymarket

Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$162K Vol.
Polymarket

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

December 31, 2026 14% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No
$565K Vol.
Polymarket

Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by...?

December 31 7% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$138K Vol.
Polymarket

Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?

December 31 95% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$845K Vol.
Polymarket

Russia coup attempt in 2026?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$129K Vol.
Polymarket

Russia nuclear test by...?

December 31, 2026 7% Yes No
September 30, 2026 1% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$6.2M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

December 31 46% Yes No
September 30 18% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$450K Vol.
Polymarket

Serbia parliament dissolved by…?

December 31 96% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$104K Vol.
Polymarket

Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?

December 31, 2026 8% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$119K Vol.
Polymarket

Todd Blanche disbarred or suspended in NY in 2026?

No 93%
Yes 7%
$9K Vol.
Polymarket

Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

December 31 2% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$188K Vol.
Polymarket

Trump meets with Putin by...?

December 31 57% Yes No
September 30 5% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$202K Vol.
Polymarket

Trump out as President before 2027?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$11.3M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$92K Vol.
Polymarket

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$21K Vol.
Polymarket

Ukraine coup attempt by...?

December 31 6% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$170K Vol.
Polymarket

Ukraine election called by...?

December 31, 2026 10% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$1.8M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Ukraine election held by...?

December 31, 2026 4% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$2.5M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$1.2M Vol.
Polymarket World