Geopolitics

Forecasts in Geopolitics · Politics

119 open forecasts of 193 in Politics

Trending in Geopolitics

Advanced filters →

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$7.2M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by...?

June 30 100% Yes No
May 15 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$7.1M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

4 43% Yes No
5 35% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$6.8M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?

December 31, 2026 90% Yes No
September 30, 2026 84% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$6.6M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Russia nuclear test by...?

December 31, 2026 10% Yes No
September 30, 2026 4% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$6.0M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

December 31 5% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$5.9M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

September 30 18% Yes No
June 30 4% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$4.6M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

December 31 46% Yes No
October 31 30% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$3.6M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$3.6M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

December 31, 2026 12% Yes No
June 30, 2026 2% Yes No
$3.4M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

US strike on Mexico by...?

December 31 12% Yes No
March 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$3.4M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

No 80%
Yes 20%
$2.8M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

December 31, 2026 10% Yes No
June 30, 2026 1% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$2.6M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

No meeting before 2027 82% Yes No
Turkey 6% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$2.6M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Ukraine election held by...?

December 31, 2026 10% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$2.5M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

No 88%
Yes 12%
$2.4M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 84%
Yes 16%
$2.4M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

No 74%
Yes 26%
$2.2M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will Alberta join the US?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$2.2M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

No 28%
Yes 72%
$2.2M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$2.1M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

June 30, 2026 7% Yes No
December 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$2.0M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?

June 30 1% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$1.9M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

December 31 56% Yes No
June 30 10% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$1.8M Vol.
Polymarket Politics