Macro

Bank of Canada Decision in July?

No Change 96% Yes No

25 bps increase 5% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$11K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

No 70%

Yes 30%

$11K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?

No 57%

Yes 42%

$11K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Argentina Annual Inflation 2026

30.0-34.9% 32% Yes No

<20% 23% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$11K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?

No 91%

Yes 9%

$9K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in July?

Increase 82% Yes No

No Change 16% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$9K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

0-1.0% 39% Yes No

1.0-2.0% 34% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$9K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Bank of Mexico Decision in August?

No change 72% Yes No

25 bps increase 13% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$8K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Argentina Official USD Exchange Rate end of 2026?

1600.00+ 52% Yes No

1400.00–1449.99 9% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$8K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Central Bank of Colombia Decision in June?

Increase 88% Yes No

No change 36% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$8K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

US bank failure by June 30?

No 67%

Yes 33%

$7K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

No 92%

Yes 8%

$7K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

US GDP growth in Q2 2026?

2.0–2.5% 28% Yes No

2.5–3.0% 21% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$6K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Will France pass a national budget by December 31?

No 62%

Yes 38%

$6K Vol.

Polymarket Economy