Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Which party will win the House in 2026? Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Russia nuclear test by...? Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...? California Governor Election Winner New "Stranger Things" episode released by...? Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? 2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis) Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch? Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...? When will Bitcoin hit $150k? Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis) How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year

Track record

Closed forecasts The_Real_MB

Resolved predictions and positions you entered and exited early.

Resolved

103

86 correct · 17 incorrect

Exited early

Closed before resolution

Accuracy

83%

Based on resolved forecasts only

Open now

Active positions

All closed Resolved Exited early

Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?

Closed Aug 20, 2026 · Entered Jul 23, 2026 Verified record · Closes Oct 21, 2026

Forecast: No

Entry

98%

Exit

99%

Realized

Polymarket gave No 98% at forecast time · +2 if correct · −98 if wrong

Exited

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Closed Jul 18, 2026 · Entered Jul 18, 2026 Verified record · Closes Oct 31, 2026

Forecast: Lionel Messi

Entry

45%

Exit

44%

Realized

-1

Polymarket gave Lionel Messi 45% at forecast time · +55 if correct · −45 if wrong

Exited

British Grand Prix: Driver Fastest Lap

Closed Jul 5, 2026 · Entered Jul 5, 2026 Verified record · Closes Jul 12, 2026

Forecast: Kimi Antonelli

Entry

68%

Exit

68%

Realized

Polymarket gave Kimi Antonelli 68% at forecast time · +32 if correct · −68 if wrong

Exited

Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

Closed Jul 5, 2026 · Entered Jul 5, 2026 Verified record · Closes Jul 12, 2026

Forecast: Yes

Entry

63%

Exit

64%

Realized

Polymarket gave Yes 63% at forecast time · +37 if correct · −63 if wrong

Exited

British Grand Prix: Constructor Pole Position

Closed Jul 4, 2026 · Entered Jul 4, 2026 Verified record · Closes Jul 11, 2026

Forecast: Mercedes

Entry

48%

Exit

50%

Realized

Polymarket gave Mercedes 48% at forecast time · +52 if correct · −48 if wrong

Exited

British Grand Prix: Sprint Winner

Closed Jul 4, 2026 · Entered Jul 4, 2026 Verified record · Closes Jul 11, 2026

Forecast: Kimi Antonelli

Entry

40%

Exit

100%

Realized

+60

Polymarket gave Kimi Antonelli 40% at forecast time · +60 if correct · −40 if wrong

Exited

British Grand Prix: Practice 1 Fastest Lap

Closed Jul 3, 2026 · Entered Jul 3, 2026 Verified record · Closes Jul 10, 2026

Forecast: Kimi Antonelli

Entry

46%

Exit

46%

Realized

Polymarket gave Kimi Antonelli 46% at forecast time · +54 if correct · −46 if wrong

Exited

Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

Closed Jun 28, 2026 · Entered Jun 28, 2026 Verified record · Closes Jul 12, 2026

Forecast: No

Entry

50%

Exit

50%

Realized

Polymarket gave No 50% at forecast time · +50 if correct · −50 if wrong

Exited

Austrian Grand Prix: Driver Fastest Lap

Closed Jun 28, 2026 · Entered Jun 28, 2026 Verified record · Closes Jul 5, 2026

Forecast: Kimi Antonelli

Entry

20%

Exit

100%

Realized

+80

Polymarket gave Kimi Antonelli 20% at forecast time · +80 if correct · −20 if wrong

Exited

Austrian Grand Prix: Which Constructor Scores 1st?

Closed Jun 28, 2026 · Entered Jun 28, 2026 Verified record · Closes Jul 5, 2026

Forecast: Mercedes

Entry

83%

Exit

100%

Realized

+17

Polymarket gave Mercedes 83% at forecast time · +17 if correct · −83 if wrong

Exited

Austrian Grand Prix: Constructor Fastest Lap

Closed Jun 28, 2026 · Entered Jun 28, 2026 Verified record · Closes Jul 5, 2026

Forecast: Mercedes

Entry

50%

Exit

50%

Realized

Polymarket gave Mercedes 50% at forecast time · +50 if correct · −50 if wrong

Exited

Austrian Grand Prix: Constructor Pole Position

Closed Jun 27, 2026 · Entered Jun 26, 2026 Verified record · Closes Jul 4, 2026

Forecast: Mercedes

Entry

56%

Exit

76%

Realized

+19

Polymarket gave Mercedes 56% at forecast time · +44 if correct · −56 if wrong

Exited

Austrian Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position

Closed Jun 27, 2026 · Entered Jun 26, 2026 Verified record · Closes Jul 4, 2026

Forecast: Kimi Antonelli

Entry

47%

Exit

64%

Realized

+17

Polymarket gave Kimi Antonelli 47% at forecast time · +53 if correct · −47 if wrong

Exited

Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina

Closed Jun 14, 2026 · Entered Jun 11, 2026 Verified record · Closes Jun 12, 2026

Forecast: Canada

Entry

54%

Exit

54%

Realized

Polymarket gave Canada 54% at forecast time · +46 if correct · −54 if wrong

Exited

Bitcoin above ___ on June 9?

Closed Jun 9, 2026 · Entered Jun 8, 2026 Verified record · Closes Jun 9, 2026

Forecast: 60,000

Entry

98%

Exit

99%

Realized

Polymarket gave 60,000 98% at forecast time · +2 if correct · −98 if wrong

Exited

Solana price on June 8?

Closed Jun 8, 2026 · Entered Jun 8, 2026 Verified record · Closes Jun 8, 2026

Forecast: 60-70

Entry

95%

Exit

95%

Realized

Polymarket gave 60-70 95% at forecast time · +5 if correct · −95 if wrong

Exited

2026 NBA Champion

Closed May 31, 2026 · Entered May 29, 2026 Verified record · Closes Jul 1, 2026

Forecast: Oklahoma City Thunder

Entry

42%

Exit

Realized

Polymarket gave Oklahoma City Thunder 42% at forecast time · +58 if correct · −42 if wrong

Plantel, superior al resto.

Exited