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When will Ethereum hit $4k?
Top outcomes
by December 31, 2027
58%
by September 30, 2027
36%
by June 30, 2027
26%
by March 31, 2027
22%
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) from the creation of this market until 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final "High" price equal to or greater than $4,000. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
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$61K Vol.
Closes Jan 1, 2028
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$61.2k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$61K Vol.
by December 31, 2027
58% market probability
58%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 58%
+42 / −58
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 42%
+58 / −42
by September 30, 2027
36% market probability
36%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 36%
+64 / −36
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 64%
+36 / −64
Explain your Yes on by September 30, 2027
Explain your No on by September 30, 2027
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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by June 30, 2027
26% market probability
26%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 26%
+74 / −26
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 74%
+26 / −74
Explain your Yes on by June 30, 2027
Explain your No on by June 30, 2027
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
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by March 31, 2027
22% market probability
22%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 22%
+78 / −22
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 78%
+22 / −78
Explain your Yes on by March 31, 2027
Explain your No on by March 31, 2027
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
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by December 31, 2026
7% market probability
7%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 7%
+93 / −7
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 93%
+7 / −93
Explain your Yes on by December 31, 2026
Explain your No on by December 31, 2026
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
by September 30, 2026
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on by September 30, 2026
Explain your No on by September 30, 2026
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
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