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When will Ethereum hit $4k?
Top outcomes
by September 30, 2027
36%
by June 30, 2027
35%
by December 31, 2027
28%
by March 31, 2027
24%
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) from the creation of this market until 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final "High" price equal to or greater than $4,000. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
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$32K Vol.
Closes Jan 1, 2028
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$32.3k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$32K Vol.
by September 30, 2027
36% market probability
36%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 36%
+64 / −36
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 64%
+36 / −64
by June 30, 2027
35% market probability
35%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 35%
+65 / −35
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 65%
+35 / −65
Explain your Yes on by June 30, 2027
Explain your No on by June 30, 2027
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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by December 31, 2027
28% market probability
28%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 28%
+72 / −28
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 72%
+28 / −72
Explain your Yes on by December 31, 2027
Explain your No on by December 31, 2027
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
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by March 31, 2027
24% market probability
24%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 24%
+76 / −24
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 76%
+24 / −76
Explain your Yes on by March 31, 2027
Explain your No on by March 31, 2027
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
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by December 31, 2026
17% market probability
17%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 17%
+83 / −17
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 83%
+17 / −83
Explain your Yes on by December 31, 2026
Explain your No on by December 31, 2026
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
by September 30, 2026
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on by September 30, 2026
Explain your No on by September 30, 2026
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
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