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What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?
Top outcomes
Clay
90%
Pee-wee / Peewee
85%
Laken Riley Act
78%
Tariff 6+ times
70%
Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks during his Midterm Rally in Dalton, Georgia on October 16, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. (https://events.gop.com/events/midterm-rally-in-dalton-georgia-president-donald-j-trump)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Midterm Rally in Georgia on October 16, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution.
The resolution source will be audio/video of the event.
For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
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$25K Vol.
Closes Oct 16, 2026
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$24.7k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$25K Vol.
Clay
90% market probability
90%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 90%
+10 / −90
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 9%
+91 / −9
Pee-wee / Peewee
85% market probability
85%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 85%
+15 / −85
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 15%
+85 / −15
Explain your Yes on Pee-wee / Peewee
Explain your No on Pee-wee / Peewee
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Laken Riley Act
78% market probability
78%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 78%
+22 / −78
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 22%
+78 / −22
Explain your Yes on Laken Riley Act
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0 / 2,000
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Tariff 6+ times
70% market probability
70%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 70%
+30 / −70
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 31%
+69 / −31
Explain your Yes on Tariff 6+ times
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0 / 2,000
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Hormuz / Blockade
70% market probability
70%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 70%
+30 / −70
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 31%
+69 / −31
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0 / 2,000
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SI / Super Intelligence
68% market probability
68%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 68%
+32 / −68
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 32%
+68 / −32
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0 / 2,000
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Russia / Ukraine
67% market probability
67%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 67%
+33 / −67
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 33%
+67 / −33
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0 / 2,000
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Tax 25+ times
65% market probability
65%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 65%
+35 / −65
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 35%
+65 / −35
Explain your Yes on Tax 25+ times
Explain your No on Tax 25+ times
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Transgender 5+ times
65% market probability
65%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 65%
+35 / −65
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 35%
+65 / −35
Explain your Yes on Transgender 5+ times
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Ass
54% market probability
54%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 54%
+46 / −54
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 46%
+54 / −46
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0 / 2,000
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Star
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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Hell 14+ times
46% market probability
46%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 46%
+54 / −46
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 54%
+46 / −54
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0 / 2,000
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AI / Artificial Intelligence
39% market probability
39%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 39%
+61 / −39
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 61%
+39 / −61
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0 / 2,000
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University
32% market probability
32%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 32%
+68 / −32
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 68%
+32 / −68
Explain your Yes on University
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Fentanyl / Deport / Deported
30% market probability
30%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 30%
+70 / −30
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 70%
+30 / −70
Explain your Yes on Fentanyl / Deport / Deported
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0 / 2,000
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America First
22% market probability
22%
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
Yes 22%
+78 / −22
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
No 78%
+22 / −78
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0 / 2,000
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Peach / Pecan
14% market probability
14%
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
Yes 14%
+86 / −14
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
No 86%
+14 / −86
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Trump Account / TrumpRX
9% market probability
9%
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
Yes 9%
+91 / −9
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
No 91%
+9 / −91
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0 / 2,000
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Ceasefire
5% market probability
5%
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
Yes 5%
+95 / −5
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
No 95%
+5 / −95
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0 / 2,000
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-No Qualifying Event-
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
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0 / 2,000
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Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency
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0 / 2,000
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