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Polymarket
Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner
Top outcomes
William Azaroff
31%
Ken Sim
24%
Pete Fry
16%
Kareem Allam
10%
The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
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$141K Vol.
Closes Oct 17, 2026
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$140.5k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$141K Vol.
William Azaroff
31% market probability
31%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 31%
+69 / −31
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 69%
+31 / −69
Ken Sim
24% market probability
24%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 24%
+76 / −24
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 76%
+24 / −76
Explain your Yes on Ken Sim
Explain your No on Ken Sim
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Pete Fry
16% market probability
16%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 16%
+84 / −16
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 84%
+16 / −84
Explain your Yes on Pete Fry
Explain your No on Pete Fry
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Kareem Allam
10% market probability
10%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 10%
+90 / −10
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 90%
+10 / −90
Explain your Yes on Kareem Allam
Explain your No on Kareem Allam
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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John Coupar
5% market probability
5%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 5%
+95 / −5
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 95%
+5 / −95
Explain your Yes on John Coupar
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0 / 2,000
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Colleen Hardwick
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Colleen Hardwick
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Fred Harding
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Fred Harding
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0 / 2,000
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Kirk LaPointe
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Kirk LaPointe
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Rebecca Bligh
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Rebecca Bligh
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0 / 2,000
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Sean Orr
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Sean Orr
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Amanda Burrows
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Amanda Burrows
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Tim Louis
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Tim Louis
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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