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Polymarket
Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner
Top outcomes
Pete Fry
59%
Ken Sim
40%
Kareem Allam
0%
Sean Orr
0%
The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
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$283K Vol.
Closes Oct 18, 2026
Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$282.6k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$283K Vol.
Pete Fry
59% market probability
59%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 59%
+41 / −59
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 41%
+59 / −41
Ken Sim
40% market probability
40%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 40%
+60 / −40
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 60%
+40 / −60
Explain your Yes on Ken Sim
Explain your No on Ken Sim
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Kareem Allam
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Kareem Allam
Explain your No on Kareem Allam
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Sean Orr
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Sean Orr
Explain your No on Sean Orr
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Tim Louis
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Tim Louis
Explain your No on Tim Louis
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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John Coupar
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on John Coupar
Explain your No on John Coupar
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Fred Harding
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Fred Harding
Explain your No on Fred Harding
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Kirk LaPointe
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Kirk LaPointe
Explain your No on Kirk LaPointe
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Rebecca Bligh
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Rebecca Bligh
Explain your No on Rebecca Bligh
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Amanda Burrows
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Amanda Burrows
Explain your No on Amanda Burrows
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Stephanie Allen
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Stephanie Allen
Explain your No on Stephanie Allen
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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William Azaroff
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on William Azaroff
Explain your No on William Azaroff
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Colleen Hardwick
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Colleen Hardwick
Explain your No on Colleen Hardwick
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Public forecast history
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