Resolved Politics Polymarket

US and Iran sign an agreement by...?

Top outcomes

July 31 100%
June 22 100%
June 30 100%
June 15 100%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran. Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

$21.3M Vol. Closed Jun 16, 2026
Resolved outcome: July 31

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All outcomes

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$21.3M Vol.

July 31

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

June 22

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

June 30

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

June 15

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0
Forecasts are closed because this event has already started.

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