Forecasts closed Polymarket

South Carolina Governor Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

Top outcomes

Wilson 15%+ 100%
Other 50%
Evette <5% 0%
Wilson <5% 0%

The South Carolina Gubernatorial Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for June 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the South Carolina Republican Gubernatorial Primary runoff election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

$95K Vol. Closed Jun 24, 2026

Live Polymarket Chart

Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

Open on Polymarket ↗

The chart is view-only. Use Open on Polymarket above to visit the market — no trading on this platform.

$95.2k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$95K Vol.

Wilson 15%+

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

Other

50% market probability

50%
Yes 50% +50 / −50 No 50% +50 / −50

Evette <5%

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Wilson <5%

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Evette 15%+

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Evette 5–10%

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Wilson 5–10%

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Evette 10–15%

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Wilson 10–15%

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100
Forecasts are closed because this market is no longer accepting forecasts.

Public forecast history

All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.

No forecasts were placed before this market closed.