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Precipitation in Hong Kong in June?

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between June 1 and June 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory. The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in June 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

$259 Vol. Closes Jun 30, 2026

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$259 Vol.

All outcomes

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$259 Vol.

475-500mm

43% market probability

43%
Yes 43% +57 / −43 No 57% +43 / −57

450-475mm

40% market probability

40%
Yes 40% +60 / −40 No 60% +40 / −60

<350mm

38% market probability

38%
Yes 38% +62 / −38 No 62% +38 / −62

500mm+

26% market probability

26%
Yes 26% +74 / −26 No 74% +26 / −74

350-375mm

14% market probability

14%
Yes 14% +86 / −14 No 86% +14 / −86

375-400mm

12% market probability

12%
Yes 12% +88 / −12 No 88% +12 / −88

400-425mm

12% market probability

12%
Yes 12% +88 / −12 No 88% +12 / −88

425-450mm

12% market probability

12%
Yes 12% +88 / −12 No 88% +12 / −88
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