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Pop Culture
Polymarket
Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner
Top outcomes
Wild Horse Nine
56%
Other
50%
Movie A
50%
Movie B
50%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$42.8k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$43K Vol.
Wild Horse Nine
56% market probability
56%
Yes 56%
+44 / −56
No 44%
+56 / −44
Other
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Movie A
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Movie B
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Movie C
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Movie D
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Movie E
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Movie F
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Movie G
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Movie H
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Movie I
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Movie J
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Movie K
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Movie L
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Movie M
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Movie N
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Movie O
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Movie P
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Movie Q
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Movie R
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Movie S
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Movie T
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Movie U
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Movie V
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Movie W
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Movie X
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Movie Y
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Movie Z
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
The Debut
20% market probability
20%
Yes 20%
+80 / −20
No 80%
+20 / −80
Club Kid
8% market probability
8%
Yes 8%
+92 / −8
No 92%
+8 / −92
Obsession
8% market probability
8%
Yes 8%
+92 / −8
No 92%
+8 / −92
Elsinore
4% market probability
4%
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
No 96%
+4 / −96
Digger
4% market probability
4%
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
No 96%
+4 / −96
The Drama
4% market probability
4%
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
No 96%
+4 / −96
The Invite
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
Fjord
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
Josephine
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
The Odyssey
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
The Black Ball
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
A Place in Hell
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Forgotten Island
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Fatherland
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Public forecast history
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