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Russia nuclear test by...? Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...? Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? MLS Cup Winner 2026 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...? Pro Football: 2027 AFC Champion Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? Next French Presidential Election US military action against Cuba by...? Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Los Angeles Mayoral Election Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? When will Bitcoin hit $150k? Highest grossing movie in 2026? UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
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# of views of Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer on day 1?

Top outcomes

20-40M 98%
40-60M 1%
80M+ 0%
<20M 0%

This market will resolve according to the number of views the Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer video gets in the first 24 hours after being posted on the Rockstar Games YouTube channel. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is Rockstar Games' YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@RockstarGames), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers only to the "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" video posted by Rockstar Games (see: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rz1B4B2yBZY).

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$26K Vol. Closes Oct 17, 2026

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$25.5k Vol.

All outcomes

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$26K Vol.

20-40M

98% market probability

98%

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0 / 2,000

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40-60M

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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80M+

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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<20M

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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60-80M

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on 60-80M Explain your No on 60-80M (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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