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NBA: How Much Will LeBron’s Next Contract Be?
Top outcomes
Under $4M
94%
Other
50%
$4M-$10M
6%
$10M-$15M
0%
This market will resolve in favor of the bucket that matches the annual average value of the next NBA contract of LeBron James as reported at signing.
Only contracts with a minimum length of 1 year will be considered.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If LeBron James retires or does not agree to a contract with an NBA team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the acquiring team; however, a consensus of credible sources may also be used.
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$180K Vol.
Closes Oct 31, 2026
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$180.0k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$180K Vol.
Under $4M
94% market probability
94%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 94%
+6 / −94
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 6%
+94 / −6
Other
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Other
Explain your No on Other
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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$4M-$10M
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
Explain your Yes on $4M-$10M
Explain your No on $4M-$10M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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$10M-$15M
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on $10M-$15M
Explain your No on $10M-$15M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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Over $50M
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Over $50M
Explain your No on Over $50M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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$15M-$50M
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on $15M-$50M
Explain your No on $15M-$50M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
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