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Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 12?
Top outcomes
26°C
38%
25°C
38%
27°C
10%
24°C
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
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$31K Vol.
Closes Jun 12, 2026
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$31.3k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$31K Vol.
26°C
38% market probability
38%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 38%
+62 / −38
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 62%
+38 / −62
25°C
38% market probability
38%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 38%
+62 / −38
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 62%
+38 / −62
Explain your Yes on 25°C
Explain your No on 25°C
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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27°C
10% market probability
10%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 10%
+90 / −10
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 90%
+10 / −90
Explain your Yes on 27°C
Explain your No on 27°C
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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24°C
8% market probability
8%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 8%
+92 / −8
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 92%
+8 / −92
Explain your Yes on 24°C
Explain your No on 24°C
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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28°C
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on 28°C
Explain your No on 28°C
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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23°C
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on 23°C
Explain your No on 23°C
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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22°C
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 22°C
Explain your No on 22°C
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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29°C or higher
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 29°C or higher
Explain your No on 29°C or higher
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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20°C
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 20°C
Explain your No on 20°C
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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21°C
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 21°C
Explain your No on 21°C
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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19°C or below
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 19°C or below
Explain your No on 19°C or below
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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