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Highest temperature in Denver on July 4?
Top outcomes
88-89°F
46%
90-91°F
38%
86-87°F
12%
92-93°F
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
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$28K Vol.
Closes Jul 4, 2026
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$28.2k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$28K Vol.
88-89°F
46% market probability
46%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 46%
+54 / −46
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 53%
+47 / −53
90-91°F
38% market probability
38%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 38%
+62 / −38
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 62%
+38 / −62
Explain your Yes on 90-91°F
Explain your No on 90-91°F
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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86-87°F
12% market probability
12%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 12%
+88 / −12
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 88%
+12 / −88
Explain your Yes on 86-87°F
Explain your No on 86-87°F
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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92-93°F
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on 92-93°F
Explain your No on 92-93°F
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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84-85°F
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on 84-85°F
Explain your No on 84-85°F
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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94-95°F
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on 94-95°F
Explain your No on 94-95°F
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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82-83°F
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 82-83°F
Explain your No on 82-83°F
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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80-81°F
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 80-81°F
Explain your No on 80-81°F
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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96-97°F
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 96-97°F
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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98°F or higher
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 98°F or higher
Explain your No on 98°F or higher
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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79°F or below
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 79°F or below
Explain your No on 79°F or below
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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