Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

GTA VI: PS5 Launch Price

$60+ 98% Yes No
$70+ 96% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$78K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

September 30 68% Yes No
September 18 64% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$78K Vol.
Polymarket

Nara Smith confirmed pregnant in 2026?

No 56%
Yes 44%
$77K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

US economic state at the end of 2026?

Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%) 59% Yes No
Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%) 38% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$77K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?

No 93%
Yes 7%
$76K Vol.
Polymarket

GTA VI released by...?

November 30 94% Yes No
October 31 1% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$76K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

#1 Searched Passing on Google 2026?

Other 50% Yes No
Person 3 50% Yes No

+68 more outcomes

$75K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

2nd Largest Company end of September?

Apple 88% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+27 more outcomes

$75K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Next Claude Opus released by...?

December 31 99% Yes No
October 31 95% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$75K Vol.
Polymarket

Which streaming service will win the most Emmys?

HBO Max 75% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$75K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

BMO 46% Yes No
KeyBank 5% Yes No

+17 more outcomes

$75K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$75K Vol.
Polymarket

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?

December 31 12% Yes No
September 30 1% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$75K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Iran legalize gay marriage?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$75K Vol.
Polymarket

SSI public model released by…?

October 31 48% Yes No
September 30 24% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$74K Vol.
Polymarket

Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner

Mark Sutcliffe 67% Yes No
Jeff Leiper 12% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$74K Vol.
Polymarket

#3 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)

Other 50% Yes No
Company A 50% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

$74K Vol.
Polymarket

Clavicular sentenced to prison?

No 90%
Yes 10%
$74K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$74K Vol.
Polymarket

Big Brother Season 28: 3rd Place

Other 50% Yes No
Person D 50% Yes No

+39 more outcomes

$74K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

What will the median home value in the US be on September 30?

<$419K 71% Yes No
$419K - $426K 21% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$74K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series

Colman Domingo – “Euphoria” 39% Yes No
Bradley Whitford – “The Diplomat” 18% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$74K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Will ByteDance's valuation hit __ by December 31?

↓$550B 100% Yes No
↑$650B 36% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$74K Vol.
Polymarket

Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$73K Vol.
Polymarket