Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?

No 88%
Yes 12%
$776K Vol.
Polymarket

Switzerland’s June Referendum: What will pass?

Civilian Service Act 100% Yes No
No to ten million Switzerland 0% Yes No
$774K Vol.
Polymarket

US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?

August 31 40% Yes No
July 31 18% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$771K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Iran hold a presidential election by...?

December 31 9% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$767K Vol.
Polymarket World

U.S. nuclear test by...?

December 31, 2026 5% Yes No
September 30, 2026 1% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$764K Vol.
Polymarket World

Elon Musk # tweets in July 2026?

Forecasts closed
680-719 15% Yes No
720-759 14% Yes No

+49 more outcomes

$761K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Ethereum above ___ on June 2?

$760K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

China Annual GDP Growth 2026

Forecasts closed
4.0–5.0% 78% Yes No
5.0–6.0% 17% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$757K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in May 2026?

$756K Vol.
Polymarket

England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?

No 0%
Yes 100%
$753K Vol.
Polymarket

Tour De France 2026: Winner

Tadej Pogačar 96% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+111 more outcomes

$753K Vol.
Polymarket

Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?

Belgium 26% Yes No
The Netherlands 12% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$749K Vol.
Polymarket World

Ethereum above ___ on May 29?

$745K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

↓ $1 100% Yes No
↓ $2 100% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$745K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

2026 NBA Draft: 1st Overall pick

AJ Dybantsa 100% Yes No
Koa Peat 0% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$737K Vol.
Polymarket Sports

Bitcoin best month in 2026?

December 19% Yes No
October 18% Yes No

+10 more outcomes

$736K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of June 1 2026?

↑ $760 100% Yes No
↓ $740 100% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$736K Vol.
Polymarket

Ink FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$250M 57% Yes No
$100M 56% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$732K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$732K Vol.
Polymarket

What price will Dogecoin hit in May?

↑ 0.15 0% Yes No
↑ 0.20 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$728K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$724K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit in May 2026?

$720K Vol.
Polymarket

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of June?

20-40 100% Yes No
60+ 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$719K Vol.
Polymarket

UEFA Champions League: Unbeaten Champion

No 0%
Yes 100%
$719K Vol.
Polymarket