Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Who will be UFC Light Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?

Carlos Ulberg 92% Yes No
Magomed Ankalaev 3% Yes No

+10 more outcomes

$1.0M Vol.
Polymarket Sports

India strike on Pakistan by...?

December 31, 2026 11% Yes No
October 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$997K Vol.
Polymarket World

US charges Hormuz fees by...?

December 31 4% Yes No
July 17 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$995K Vol.
Polymarket World

Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by...?

December 31 26% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$992K Vol.
Polymarket World

Who will be UFC Middleweight champion at the end of 2026?

Sean Strickland 89% Yes No
Nassourdine Imavov 2% Yes No

+10 more outcomes

$978K Vol.
Polymarket Sports

MLS: 2026 Golden Boot Winner

Lionel Messi 95% Yes No
Petar Musa 3% Yes No

+26 more outcomes

$977K Vol.
Polymarket Sports

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?

June 30, 2027 8% Yes No
December 31 1% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$968K Vol.
Polymarket World

Serie A: 2027 Champion

Inter Milan 60% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+22 more outcomes

$949K Vol.
Polymarket Sports

Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026

S&P 500 69% Yes No
Bitcoin 17% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$946K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

December 31, 2026 11% Yes No
December 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$945K Vol.
Polymarket World

China Annual GDP Growth 2026

4.0–5.0% 96% Yes No
5.0–6.0% 4% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$934K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

Javier Milei 50% Yes No
Axel Kicillof 30% Yes No

+17 more outcomes

$927K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Tempo launch a token by ___ ?

December 31, 2027 16% Yes No
December 31, 2026 4% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$924K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Maduro Prison Time?

No prison time 62% Yes No
60+ 18% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$921K Vol.
Polymarket World

Kansas Senate Election Winner

Roger Marshall (R) 64% Yes No
Adam Hamilton (D) 38% Yes No
$914K Vol.
Polymarket

Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

Venezuela 10% Yes No
Kuwait 7% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$914K Vol.
Polymarket

MLS: 2026 Defender of the Year

Walker Zimmerman 5% Yes No
Miguel Tapias 5% Yes No

+58 more outcomes

$910K Vol.
Polymarket Sports

Iowa Senate Election Winner

Ashley Hinson (R) 58% Yes No
Josh Turek (D) 42% Yes No
$893K Vol.
Polymarket

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

Yashar 66% Yes No
Likud 34% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$893K Vol.
Polymarket

Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?

October 5 100% Yes No
October 7 100% Yes No

+29 more outcomes

$892K Vol.
Polymarket

Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?

December 31 95% Yes No
October 31 89% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$890K Vol.
Polymarket

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

↑ $3 100% Yes No
↑ $4 100% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$875K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?

December 31 8% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$873K Vol.
Polymarket World

Will Russia capture Sumy by...?

March 31, 2027 4% Yes No
December 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$872K Vol.
Polymarket