Markets
All markets
Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?
December 31, 2026
5%
Yes
No
July 31, 2026
0%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$279K Vol.
Polymarket
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?
No
91%
Yes
9%
$279K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by...?
December 31
9%
Yes
No
May 31
0%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$277K Vol.
Polymarket
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
Hesai
18%
Yes
No
Alibaba
18%
Yes
No
+8 more outcomes
$275K Vol.
Polymarket
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?
No
94%
Yes
6%
$273K Vol.
Polymarket
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?
September 30
83%
Yes
No
September 15
56%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$271K Vol.
Polymarket
Next Premier of Quebec
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon
64%
Yes
No
Christine Fréchette
32%
Yes
No
+5 more outcomes
$268K Vol.
Polymarket
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?
December 31
12%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
$266K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
No
93%
Yes
7%
$263K Vol.
Polymarket
Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)
Netanyahu - Israel PM
40%
Yes
No
None before 2027
36%
Yes
No
+20 more outcomes
$254K Vol.
Polymarket
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?
No
97%
Yes
3%
$252K Vol.
Polymarket
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
No
94%
Yes
6%
$250K Vol.
Polymarket
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by...?
December 31
20%
Yes
No
September 30
6%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$245K Vol.
Polymarket
Israeli Legislative Election Winner
Yashar
52%
Yes
No
Likud
46%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$244K Vol.
Polymarket
JD Vance out as VP by...?
December 31
6%
Yes
No
July 31
0%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$241K Vol.
Polymarket
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
No
12%
Yes
88%
$241K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by...?
October 31
20%
Yes
No
May 31
0%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$236K Vol.
Polymarket
Iowa Senate Election Winner
Ashley Hinson (R)
64%
Yes
No
Josh Turek (D)
37%
Yes
No
$226K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by...?
December 31
44%
Yes
No
September 30
10%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$217K Vol.
Polymarket
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
No
84%
Yes
16%
$217K Vol.
Polymarket
Latvian Parliamentary Election Winner
AS
75%
Yes
No
SV
11%
Yes
No
+7 more outcomes
$213K Vol.
Polymarket
France United Left Primary Winner
Canceled
93%
Yes
No
Marine Tondelier
1%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$212K Vol.
Polymarket
NATO article 5 before 2027?
No
93%
Yes
7%
$212K Vol.
Polymarket
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
No
96%
Yes
4%
$211K Vol.
Polymarket
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