Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Bank of England decision in November?

No change 74% Yes No
25 bps increase 26% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$26K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

August Unemployment Rate

4.1% 34% Yes No
4.2% 34% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$26K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Central Bank of Colombia decision in September

No change 87% Yes No
50+ bps increase 8% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$26K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

3rd richest person on December 31?

Sergey Brin 45% Yes No
Mark Zuckerberg 36% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$25K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026?

2.0-2.5% 31% Yes No
1.0-1.5% 22% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$24K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?

$1.75–$2.00T 46% Yes No
$2.00–$2.25T 36% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$24K Vol.
Polymarket

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

800–900B 42% Yes No
700–800B 25% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$24K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

US GDP growth in Q3 2026?

≥3.0% 32% Yes No
2.0–2.5% 26% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$24K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Japan GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?

0.8%–1.6% 26% Yes No
0.0%–0.8% 24% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$23K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by December 31?

70% 100% Yes No
80% 62% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$23K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Argentina Official USD Exchange Rate end of 2026? (Higher Brackets)

<1600.00 45% Yes No
1600.00–1699.99 34% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$22K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will ground beef hit __ in 2026?

$7.000+ 48% Yes No
$9.000+ 32% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$22K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?

No 70%
Yes 30%
$21K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?

No 66%
Yes 34%
$21K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

US defaults on debt by 2027?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$17K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?

No 89%
Yes 11%
$16K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

No 91%
Yes 9%
$13K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$11K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

UK Recession in 2026?

No 93%
Yes 7%
$10K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

No 93%
Yes 7%
$9K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Argentina Official USD Exchange Rate end of 2026?

1600.00+ 62% Yes No
1450.00–1499.99 15% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$9K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will France pass a national budget by December 31?

No 68%
Yes 32%
$8K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Fed abolished before 2027?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$8K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?

No 33%
Yes 67%
$886 Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech