Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

EU emergency diesel stocks end of December 2026?

30M+ 86% Yes No
31M+ 76% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$41K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Central Bank of Colombia decision in October

No change 57% Yes No
25 bps increase 37% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$41K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?

25 bps increase 55% Yes No
No change 40% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$41K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

KOSPI all-time high before 2028?

No 72%
Yes 28%
$40K Vol.
Polymarket

EU emergency diesel stocks end of October 2026?

30M+ 96% Yes No
31M+ 90% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$40K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by December 31?

70% 100% Yes No
65% 90% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$38K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Brazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?

0.0% to 0.2% 26% Yes No
<-0.3% 25% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$37K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

ECB rate cut in 2026?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$36K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

EU emergency diesel stocks end of November 2026?

30M+ 92% Yes No
31M+ 86% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$36K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

ECB Interest Rates: December 2026

25 bps increase 82% Yes No
No change 14% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$36K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Bank of Korea decision in November?

25 bps hike 48% Yes No
No Change 32% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$35K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by October 30?

280M 30% Yes No
270M 6% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$33K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?

No 52%
Yes 48%
$33K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Canada GDP: August 2026 (MoM)

0.0 to 0.1% 41% Yes No
0.2 to 0.3% 24% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$33K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in October?

5.29% 100% Yes No
5.32% 13% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$31K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?

0 44% Yes No
1 28% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$31K Vol.
Polymarket

Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$30K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

What will the median home value in the Austin Metro area be on December 31?

<$397K 45% Yes No
$397K - $407K 25% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$28K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

3rd richest person on December 31?

Steve Ballmer 37% Yes No
Jensen Huang 32% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$28K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?

No 31%
Yes 69%
$28K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - October 2026

46.0 to 48.9 47% Yes No
43.0 to 45.9 44% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$27K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Bank of Brazil decision in December?

25 bps decrease 55% Yes No
50+ bps decrease 26% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$26K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

800–900B 43% Yes No
700–800B 21% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$25K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Trump issues AI Restrictions Executive Order by...?

December 31 14% Yes No
November 30 6% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$24K Vol.
Polymarket Economy