Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket and Kalshi, no betting.

All categories 0 0 (0 bps) ↓ 1,000 ↓ 10,000 ↑ 100,000 ↑ 1,000,000 100-110mm 100-119 <100mm 10 (250 bps) ↑ 105,000 <1.0T 1.0T–1.2T ↑ 110,000 1.10–1.14ºC 110-120mm <1.10ºC 11 (275 bps) ↑ 115,000 1.15–1.19ºC 115-139 ↓ 1,200 ↑ 120,000 1.20–1.24ºC 120-139 12+ (300+ bps) 1.25–1.29ºC 1 (25 bps) >1.29ºC 1.2T–1.4T ↑ 130,000 140 ↓ 1,400 ↑ 140,000 140-159 140-164 1.4T–1.6T ↓ 15,000 ↑ 150,000 ↓ 1,600 1,600 ↑ 160,000 160-179 165-189 1.6T–1.8T 1,700 ↑ 170,000 ↓ 1,800 1,800 ↑ 180,000 180-199 1.8T–2.0T 1,900 ↑ 190,000 190-214 1M+ 1st hottest <20 20+ 2000 ↓ 2,000 2,000 ↓ 20,000 ↑ 200,000 2,000-2,100 200-219 $200M 20-39 2.0T+ 2,100 215-239 2200 2,200 220-239 2,300 240+ 2400 2,400 240-259 2,500 ↓ 25,000 ↑ 250,000 2 (50 bps) 25 bps decrease 25 bps increase ↑ 2,600 2,600 260-279 26°C or higher ↑ 2,800 280-299 2nd hottest ↑ 3,000 ↓ 30,000 300-319 ↑ 3,200 320-339 ↑ 3,400 340-359 ↓ 35,000 ↑ 3,600 360-379 3 (75 bps) ↑ 3,800 380-399 3rd hottest <40 40+ ↓ 400 ↑ 4,000 ↓ 40,000 400-419 $400M 40-59 40-64 4 (100 bps) 420-439 440-459 ↓ 45,000 460-479 480-499 4th or lower 500+ ↑ 5,000 ↓ 5,000 ↓ 50,000 ↑ 500,000 50+ bps decrease 50+ bps increase $50M 5 (125 bps) ↓ 55,000 60+ ↓ 600 ↓ 60,000 60-79 6 (150 bps) ↓ 64,000 ↓ 65,000 65-89 ↓ 66,000 66,000 <68,000 ↓ 68,000 68,000 68,000-70,000 ↓ 69,000 7 ↓ 70,000 70,000 70,000-72,000 ↓ 71,000 7 (175 bps) ↓ 72,000 72,000 72,000-74,000 ↓ 72,500 ↓ 73,000 ↓ 74,000 74,000 74,000-76,000 ↑ 75,000 $755 76,000 76,000-78,000 ↑ 77,000 ↑ 77,500 ↑ 78,000 78,000 78,000-80,000 ↑ 79,000 8+ 80+ ↓ 800 ↑ 80,000 80,000 80,000-82,000 80-90 80-99 ↑ 81,000 ↑ 82,000 82,000 82,000-84,000 8 (200 bps) ↑ 83,000 ↑ 84,000 84,000 84,000-86,000 85% ↑ 85,000 >86,000 ↑ 86,000 86,000 ↑ 88,000 88,000 90% ↑ 90,000 90-114 ↑ 92,000 9 (225 bps) ↑ 95,000 Aalesunds FK Abbas Araghchi AC Monza Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani Ahmad Vahidi AI / Artificial Intelligence Aiemann Zahabi Alexander Albon Alexander Volkanovski Alexandre Pantoja Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Algeria Ali Asghar Hejazi Ali Motahari Alireza Arafi Alphabet Amazon América de Cali Amir Ohana Amorim to win by KO/TKO? Andorra Andrew Yang Andy Beshear Anthropic Any Player Penta Kill Any Player Quadra Kill Any Player Rampage Any Player Ultra Kill Apple Argentina Arsenal FC Arvid Lindblad Ass August 31 Australia Austria Avengers: Doomsday Avigdor Lieberman Ayelet Shaked Barack Obama Barcelona SC Before 2027 Belgium Benjamin Netanyahu Benny Gantz Bernie Sanders Beto O’Rourke Bosnia and Herzegovina Bosnia-Herzegovina Both Teams Beat Roshan Both Teams Destroy Barracks Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors Both Teams Slay a Dragon Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor Both Teams to Score Brazil Brian Kemp Broadcom by December 31, 2026 by June 30, 2026 Byron Donalds ByteDance CA Boca Juniors Canada Candace Owens Cape Verde Carlos Sainz Jr. CA Tigre CDP Junior FC CD Universidad Católica Charles Leclerc Charlie / Kirk 5+ times Chelsea Clinton Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5 Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5 Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5 Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5 Chris Murphy Club Alianza Atlético Club Cerro Porteño Colombia Company A Company B Company C Company D Company E Company F Company G Company H Company I Company J Company K Company L Company M Company N Company O Company P Company Q Company R Company S Company T Completed Match Congo DR Cory Booker Cory Sandhagen Croatia Crusaders Cruzeiro EC Crypto CS Cristal CSyD Macará Curaçao Czechia Databricks De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5 De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5 De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5 De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5 December 31 December 31 December 31, 2026 December 31, 2027 Deiveson Figueiredo Devin Vassell: Assists O/U 0.5 Devin Vassell: Points O/U 2.5 Devin Vassell: Points O/U 3.5 Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 1.5 Discord Donald Trump Donald Trump Jr. Draw Draw (Aalesunds FK vs. Hamarkameratene) Draw (AC Monza vs. US Catanzaro 1929) Draw (América de Cali vs. CSyD Macará) Draw (Andorra vs. Iraq) Draw (Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. North Macedonia) Draw (CA Boca Juniors vs. CD Universidad Católica) Draw (CA Tigre vs. Club Alianza Atlético) Draw (Club Cerro Porteño vs. CS Cristal) Draw (Cruzeiro EC vs. Barcelona SC) Draw (Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid) Draw (Egypt vs. Russia) Draw (El Mokawloon El Arab SC vs. Modern SC) Draw (Fredrikstad FK vs. IK Start) Draw (IR Iran vs. Gambia) Draw (Ismaily SC vs. Pharco FC) Draw (KFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. Tromsø IL) Draw (Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC) Draw (Nice vs. Saint-Etienne) Draw (Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC) Draw (Petrojet SC vs. El Gouna SC) Draw (Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar) Draw (Rosenborg BK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt) Draw (SE Palmeiras vs. CDP Junior FC) Draw (SK Brann vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF) Draw (South Africa vs. Nicaragua) Draw (Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Wadi Degla SC) Draw (Vålerenga Fotball vs. Kristiansund BK) Draw (ZED FC vs. Kahrabaa Ismailia FC) Driver A Driver B Driver C Driver D Driver E Driver F Driver G Driver H Driver I Dune: Messiah Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson Economy Ecuador Egypt El Gouna SC Elise Stefanik El Mokawloon El Arab SC Elon Musk Ends in Daytime England Enrichment of Uranium Eric Trump Erika Kirk Esteban Ocon Exact Score: 0-0 Exact Score: 0-1 Exact Score: 0-2 Exact Score: 0-3 Exact Score: 1-0 Exact Score: 1-1 Exact Score: 1-2 Exact Score: 1-3 Exact Score: 2-0 Exact Score: 2-1 Exact Score: 2-2 Exact Score: 2-3 Exact Score: 3-0 Exact Score: 3-1 Exact Score: 3-2 Exact Score: 3-3 Exact Score: Any Other Score FBI February 28 Fernando Alonso Fighter A Fighter B Fighter C Fighter D Fighter E Fighter F Fighter G Fighter H Fighter I Fighter J Fighter K Fighter L Fighter M Fighter N Fighter O Fighter P Fighter Q Fighter R Fighter S Fighter T Fighter U Fighter V Fighter W Fighter X Fighter Y Fighter Z Fight to Go the Distance? Fight won by KO/TKO? Fight won by submission? FK Bodø/Glimt France Franco Colapinto Frank Donovan Fredrikstad FK Gabriel Bortoleto Gadi Eizenkot Gambia Gavin Newsom George Clooney George Russell Germany Ghana Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel Gideon Sa’ar Gina Raimondo Glenn Youngkin Graham Platner Greg Abbott Gretchen Whitmer Grigor Dimitrov Haiti Hamarkameratene Hassan Khomeini Hassan Rouhani Hassan Shariatmadari Henry to win by KO/TKO? Hillary Clinton Hunter Biden Hurricanes IK Start Iran Iraq Ireland IR Iran Isack Hadjar Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 0.5 Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 1.5 Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 2.5 Ismaily SC Israel Katz Itamar Ben Gvir Ivanka Trump Ivory Coast Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 2.5 Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 3.5 Jalen Williams: Points O/U 13.5 Jalen Williams: Points O/U 7.5 Jalen Williams: Points O/U 8.5 Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 2.5 Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5 James Talarico Jamie Dimon January 31 Japan Jared McCain: Assists O/U 0.5 Jared McCain: Rebounds O/U 0.5 Jared Polis Jasmine Crockett J.B. Pritzker JB Pritzker J.D. Vance JD Vance Joe Kent John Fetterman John Thune Jon Ossoff Jon Stewart Jordan Josh Hawley Josh Shapiro Julian Champagnie: Assists O/U 0.5 Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 2.5 Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 1.5 July 31 June 15 June 3 June 30 June 30, 2026 June 7 Kahrabaa Ismailia FC Kamala Harris Katie Britt KFUM-Kameratene Oslo Kimi Antonelli Kim Kardashian Kraken Kristiansund BK Kristi Noem Lance Stroll Lando Norris LeBron James Lewis Hamilton Liam Lawson Liaoning Tieren FC Liz Cheney Lookboonmee to win by KO/TKO? Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5 Luguentz Dort: Points O/U 0.5 Luguentz Dort: Rebounds O/U 0.5 Mahmoud Ahmadinejad Marco Rubio Marjorie Taylor Greene Mark Cuban Mark Kelly Maryam Rajavi Masoud Pezeshkian Massoud Rajavi Matt Gaetz Max Verstappen May 24 May 25 May 26 May 27 May 28 May 29 May 30 May 31 May 31, 2026 Mexico Michael Michelle Obama Microsoft Mike Pence Minions & Monsters Mitchell to win by KO/TKO? Modern SC Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf Mohammad Khatami Mohsen Araki Mojtaba Khamenei Morocco Moshe Feiglin Mostafa Pourmohammadi Movie E Movie G Movie I Movie K Movie M Movie O MrBeast Muhammad Mirbaqiri Mustafa Hijri Naftali Bennett Nasir Hosseini Navid Shomali Netherlands NewJeans New York Knicks New Zealand Nicaragua Nice Nico Hülkenberg Nikki Haley Nir Barkat No change No Head of State No IPO before 2028 North Macedonia Norway NRFI NVIDIA o Oil Sanction Relief Oklahoma City Thunder Oliver Bearman OpenAI Oprah Winfrey Oscar Piastri Other p Panama Paraguay Paris Saint-Germain FC Payton Talbott Pedro Munhoz Perplexity AI Person AA Person AB Person AC Person AD Person AE Person AF Person AG Person AH Person AI Person AJ Person AK Person AL Person AM Person AN Person AO Person AP Person AQ Person AR Person AS Person AT Person AU Person AV Person AW Person AX Person AY Person AZ Person BA Person BB Person BC Person BD Person BE Person BF Person BG Person BH Person BI Person BJ Person BK Person BL Person BM Person BN Person BO Person BP Person BQ Person BR Person BS Person BT Person BU Person BV Person BW Person BX Person BY Person BZ Person CA Person CB Person CC Person CD Person CE Person CF Person CG Person CH Person CI Person CJ Person CK Person CL Person CM Person CN Person CO Person CP Person CQ Person CR Person CS Person CT Person CU Person CV Person CW Person CX Person CY Person CZ Person DA Person DB Person F Person G Person H Person I Person J Person K Person L Person M Person N Person O Person P Person Q Person R Person S Person T Person U Person V Person W Person X Person Y Person Z Pete Buttigieg Pete Hegseth Petrojet SC Petr Yan Pharco FC Phil Murphy Pierre Gasly Placeholder A Placeholder AA Placeholder AB Placeholder AC Placeholder AD Placeholder AE Placeholder AF Placeholder AG Placeholder AH Placeholder AI Placeholder AJ Placeholder AK Placeholder AL Placeholder AM Placeholder AN Placeholder AO Placeholder AP Placeholder AQ Placeholder AR Placeholder AS Placeholder AT Placeholder AU Placeholder AV Placeholder AW Placeholder AX Placeholder AY Placeholder AZ Placeholder B Placeholder BA Placeholder BB Placeholder BC Placeholder BD Placeholder BE Placeholder BF Placeholder BG Placeholder BH Placeholder C Placeholder D Placeholder E Placeholder F Placeholder G Placeholder H Placeholder I Placeholder J Placeholder K Placeholder L Placeholder M Placeholder N Placeholder O Placeholder P Placeholder Q Placeholder R Placeholder S Placeholder T Placeholder U Placeholder V Placeholder W Placeholder X Placeholder Y Placeholder Z Politics Pop Culture Portugal Project Hail Mary q Qatar r Rahm Emanuel Rand Paul Raphael Warnock Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Republic of Ireland Revolut Reza Pahlavi Reza Pirzadeh Richard Grenell Ricky Simón Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Rob Font Ro Khanna Ron DeSantis Rosenborg BK Roy Cooper Ruben Gallego Russia s Sadegh Larijani Sadegh Mahsouli Saeed Jalili Saint-Etienne San Antonio Spurs Sarah Huckabee Sanders Sarpsborg 08 FF Saudi Arabia Saudi Aramco Science & Tech Scotland Scream 7 Sean O'Malley Senegal SE Palmeiras September 30 Sergio Perez Sergio Pérez Seyed Hossein Mousavian Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 8.5 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5 Shanghai Haigang FC SHEIN SK Brann Song Yadong South Africa South Korea SpaceX Spain Spider-Man: Brand New Day Sports Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu Stephen A. Smith Stephen Smith Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5 Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5 Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5 Stephon Castle: Points O/U 17.5 Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5 Steve Bannon Stripe Sweden Switzerland t Tala'ea El Gaish SC Team AG Team AH Team AI Team AJ Team AK Team AL Team AM Team AN Team AO Ted Cruz Tesla The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping The Odyssey The Super Mario Galaxy Movie Thomas Massie Tim Walz Tom Brady Toy Story 5 Transit Fees in the Strait of Hormuz Tromsø IL Tucker Carlson Tulsi Gabbard Tunisia Turkiye Twice u Umar Nurmagomedov Unfreeze Iranian Assets Uruguay USA US Catanzaro 1929 Uzbekistan Vålerenga Fotball Valtteri Bottas Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5 Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5 Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5 Vivek Ramaswamy Wadi Degla SC Waymo Wes Moore Wicked: For Good World Wuthering Heights xAI Yair Golan Yair Lapid Yariv Levin Yoaz Hendel Yossi Cohen ZED FC Zohran Mamdani

Highest Domestically Grossing April Film on May 31?

The Super Mario Galaxy Movie 99% Yes No
Michael 0% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$281K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Who will Trump publicly insult by May 31?

Marjorie Taylor Greene 27% Yes No
Megyn Kelly 13% Yes No

+17 more outcomes

$286K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Who will attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding?

Selena Gomez 92% Yes No
Brittany Mahomes 85% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$304K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Forsen to get signed by an LCK prog org by Jun 30?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$315K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

SBF released from custody in 2026?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$358K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

No 76%
Yes 24%
$364K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Who will die in Euphoria: Season 3?

Nate Jacobs 100% Yes No
Rue Bennett 55% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$380K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Elon Musk # tweets May 28 - May 30, 2026?

40-64 76% Yes No
65-89 14% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$408K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?

No 100%
Yes 0%
$459K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$534K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

"How to Make a Killing" Rotten Tomatoes score?

56+ 0% Yes No
58+ 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$646K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$676K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Elon Musk # tweets May 29 - June 5, 2026?

160-179 18% Yes No
180-199 16% Yes No

+24 more outcomes

$897K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

May 28 100% Yes No
May 30 94% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$958K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Harvey Weinstein prison time?

No Prison Time 76% Yes No
20-30 years 9% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$1.1M Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Top Spotify Artist 2026

Bad Bunny 68% Yes No
Drake 21% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$1.3M Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?

Avengers: Doomsday 72% Yes No
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 18% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$1.6M Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Richest person on December 31, 2026?

Elon Musk 91% Yes No
Jensen Huang 2% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$1.8M Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Will Trump dance on...?

May 31 8% Yes No
May 30 6% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$1.8M Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Bachelorette Season 22 Winner

Other (Season Cancelled) 90% Yes No
Doug Mason 5% Yes No

+21 more outcomes

$2.4M Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

No 19%
Yes 81%
$2.6M Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Next James Bond actor?

No Bond chosen 89% Yes No
Callum Turner 4% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$2.9M Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Elon Musk # tweets May 26 - June 2, 2026?

160-179 23% Yes No
180-199 20% Yes No

+24 more outcomes

$3.0M Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Elon Musk musk # tweets in May 2026?

840-879 66% Yes No
800-839 22% Yes No

+25 more outcomes

$5.2M Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Elon Musk # tweets May 22 - May 29, 2026?

180-199 100% Yes No
500+ 0% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$7.8M Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Highest grossing movie in 2026?

Spider-Man: Brand New Day 56% Yes No
Avengers: Doomsday 18% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$9.5M Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

GTA VI released before June 2026?

No 100%
Yes 0%
$15.2M Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

What will happen before GTA VI?

GPT-6 released 57% Yes No
New Playboi Carti Album 52% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$22.5M Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

New "Stranger Things" episode released by...?

December 31 6% Yes No
July 31 3% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$30.1M Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$63.2M Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by May 31?

No 87%
Yes 13%
$32K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Elon Musk Net Worth on May 31?

690b+ 98% Yes No
680-690b 1% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$36K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Will MrBeast get married by December 31?

No 41%
Yes 59%
$37K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Ángela Aguilar & Christian Nodal split in 2026?

No 50%
Yes 50%
$38K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?

No 66%
Yes 34%
$39K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Meek Mill gets Y Combinator funding by June 30?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$40K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

2nd richest person on December 31?

Larry Page 54% Yes No
Larry Ellison 32% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$42K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Which characters will appear in Avengers: Doomsday?

Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop 84% Yes No
Hugh Jackman as Wolverine 82% Yes No

+17 more outcomes

$42K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Will Comey smile in his mugshot?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$43K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Another Elon baby by June 30?

No 90%
Yes 10%
$52K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Justin Aguiar convicted of sexual assault before 2027?

No 60%
Yes 40%
$52K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?

No 44%
Yes 56%
$55K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$55K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?

No 15%
Yes 85%
$56K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Will MrBeast hit ___ Million subscribers by June 30?

494m 100% Yes No
497m 98% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$57K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Clavicular sentenced to prison?

No 84%
Yes 16%
$64K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Elon Musk musk # tweets in July 2026?

840-879 9% Yes No
880-919 9% Yes No

+49 more outcomes

$73K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Nara Smith confirmed pregnant in 2026?

No 56%
Yes 44%
$77K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$90K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Who will win Top Chef Season 23?

Rhoda Magbitang 94% Yes No
Sherry Cardoso 6% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$91K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

"The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office

>7m 68% Yes No
6-7m 30% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$91K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

"Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office

>35m 100% Yes No
<23m 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$94K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

People's Sexiest Man Alive 2026

Bad Bunny 26% Yes No
Michael B. Jordan 23% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$107K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Will Trump sign an executive order on...?

May 29 34% Yes No
May 24 25% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$111K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?

No 60%
Yes 40%
$113K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$120K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Which artists will release a new song in 2026?

Lil Uzi Vert 96% Yes No
Nicki Minaj 90% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$120K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Timothy Chalamet confirmed to be EsDeeKid by June 30?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$123K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Billboard #1 Artist 2026

The Weeknd 38% Yes No
Zach Bryan 38% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$128K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Top Spotify artist in May?

Bruno Mars 80% Yes No
Justin Bieber 13% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$132K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Will GTA 6 cost $100+?

No 90%
Yes 10%
$138K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?

Mariah Carey 90% Yes No
Ariana Grande 78% Yes No

+22 more outcomes

$151K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$152K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?

No 18%
Yes 82%
$163K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$163K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Which artists will have #1 hits in the US in May?

Ariana Grande 95% Yes No
The Weeknd 6% Yes No

+10 more outcomes

$164K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Anthropic CEO arrested?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$165K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?

No 3%
Yes 97%
$176K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Which artists will release new albums in 2026?

Olivia Rodrigo 99% Yes No
Kendrick Lamar 62% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$201K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$221K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?

No 0%
Yes 100%
$564K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$34K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture