Politics

Elections, policy, and government

416 open forecasts

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WA-01 House Election Winner

Democratic Party 96% Yes No
Republican Party 3% Yes No
$45K Vol.
Polymarket

WA-05 House Election Winner

Republican Party 76% Yes No
Democratic Party 24% Yes No
$50K Vol.
Polymarket

WA-10 House Election Winner

Democratic Party 94% Yes No
Republican Party 6% Yes No
$31K Vol.
Polymarket

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic Party 88% Yes No
Republican Party 12% Yes No
$10.0M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party 50% Yes No
Republican Party 50% Yes No
$4.1M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

WI-05 House Election Winner

Republican Party 95% Yes No
Democratic Party 5% Yes No
$59K Vol.
Polymarket

WI-07 House Election Winner

Republican Party 94% Yes No
Democratic Party 4% Yes No
$42K Vol.
Polymarket

Wisconsin Governor Election Winner

David Crowley (D) 82% Yes No
Tom Tiffany (R) 20% Yes No
$518K Vol.
Polymarket

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

≤47 26% Yes No
48 14% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$2.9M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

2026 Fulton County Commission Chair Election Winner

Mo Ivory 96% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+27 more outcomes

$21K Vol.
Polymarket

2026 Tarrant County Judge Election Winner

Tim O'Hare 64% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+27 more outcomes

$30K Vol.
Polymarket

CA-37 House Election Winner (Individual)

Sydney Kamlager-Dove 95% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$32K Vol.
Polymarket

Which Senate races will be within 5%?

Texas 80% Yes No
Alaska 64% Yes No

+16 more outcomes

$55K Vol.
Polymarket

MN-02 House Election Winner

Democratic Party 92% Yes No
Republican Party 7% Yes No
$28K Vol.
Polymarket

NJ-05 House Election Winner

Democratic Party 96% Yes No
Republican Party 3% Yes No
$24K Vol.
Polymarket

NY-03 House Election Winner

Democratic Party 92% Yes No
Republican Party 8% Yes No
$26K Vol.
Polymarket

VA-02 House Election Winner

Democratic Party 82% Yes No
Republican Party 17% Yes No
$37K Vol.
Polymarket

Next Mayor of Ekurhuleni (Germiston)?

Other 50% Yes No
Person C 50% Yes No

+32 more outcomes

$32K Vol.
Polymarket

New Zealand legislative election winner?

Labour Party 56% Yes No
National Party 44% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$59K Vol.
Polymarket

Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?

National + ACT + NZF 45% Yes No
Labour + Green 20% Yes No

+16 more outcomes

$52K Vol.
Polymarket

Next Mayor of Johannesburg?

Helen Zille 63% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+40 more outcomes

$101K Vol.
Polymarket

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

Kuomintang (KMT) 92% Yes No
Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) 6% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$161K Vol.
Polymarket

Victoria Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

One Nation 70% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+17 more outcomes

$19K Vol.
Polymarket

Bulgaria Presidential Election

Iliana Iotova 68% Yes No
Аndrey Gyurov 30% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$412K Vol.
Polymarket