Fed & Rates

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?

25 bps increase 66% Yes No

No change 30% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$97K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Fed Decision in October?

No change 86% Yes No

25 bps increase 14% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$45.6M Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Bank of Japan Decision in October?

No change 97% Yes No

25 bps increase 3% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$249K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

US GDP growth in Q3 2026?

≥3.0% 64% Yes No

2.5–3.0% 16% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$60K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026

0.8-1.1% 50% Yes No

1.2-1.5% 32% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$71K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026?

1.0-1.2% 42% Yes No

1.3%+ 40% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$63K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in October?

5.29% 100% Yes No

5.32% 14% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$31K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?

25 bps increase 55% Yes No

No change 40% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$41K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Fed Decision in December?

25 bps increase 76% Yes No

No change 22% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$3.9M Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Hike–Pause–Hike 68% Yes No

Hike–Pause–Pause 19% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$374K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Swiss National Bank decision in December?

No Change 82% Yes No

25 bps increase 18% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$63K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

No 22%

Yes 78%

$864K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?

0 46% Yes No

1 28% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$31K Vol.

Polymarket

How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

5.40% 100% Yes No

5.45% 100% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$242K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

4.70% 100% Yes No

4.75% 100% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$127K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Below 4.0% 100% Yes No

Below 4.7% 24% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$412K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Below 5.20% 38% Yes No

Below 5.15% 22% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$120K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Below 4.50% 28% Yes No

Below 4.45% 22% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$134K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

↓ 3.5% 100% Yes No

↑ 4.25% 79% Yes No

+19 more outcomes

$1.9M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

2 (50 bps) 68% Yes No

1 (25 bps) 22% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$1.1M Vol.

Polymarket

ECB rate cut in 2026?

No 96%

Yes 4%

$36K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Fed abolished before 2027?

No 99%

Yes 1%

$8K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

No 96%

Yes 4%

$245K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

4.3% 100% Yes No

4.4% 100% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$1.0M Vol.

Polymarket Economy