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World Cup: South Korea Stage of Elimination
Top outcomes
Group Stage
81%
Other
50%
Round of 32
16%
Round of 16
3%
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which South Korea is eliminated. If South Korea wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.
If South Korea is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by South Korea based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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$107K Vol.
Closes Jul 19, 2026
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$106.7k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$107K Vol.
Group Stage
81% market probability
81%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 81%
+19 / −81
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 19%
+81 / −19
Other
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Other
Explain your No on Other
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Round of 32
16% market probability
16%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 16%
+84 / −16
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 84%
+16 / −84
Explain your Yes on Round of 32
Explain your No on Round of 32
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Round of 16
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on Round of 16
Explain your No on Round of 16
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Quarterfinals
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Quarterfinals
Explain your No on Quarterfinals
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Semifinals
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Semifinals
Explain your No on Semifinals
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Final
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Final
Explain your No on Final
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Champion
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Champion
Explain your No on Champion
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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Public forecast history
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