Xi Jinping out before 2027? Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...? Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...? Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Iran leadership change by...? Pro Football: 2027 NFC Champion F1 Constructors' Champion Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Brazil Presidential Election María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...? Trump out as President by June 30? Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...? F1 Drivers' Champion Xi Jinping out by June 30? Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 US military action against Cuba by...? Israel closes its airspace by...? Elon Musk # tweets June 23 - June 30, 2026? Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...? Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...? Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...? Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Iran leadership change by...? Pro Football: 2027 NFC Champion F1 Constructors' Champion Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Brazil Presidential Election María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...? Trump out as President by June 30? Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...? F1 Drivers' Champion Xi Jinping out by June 30? Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 US military action against Cuba by...? Israel closes its airspace by...? Elon Musk # tweets June 23 - June 30, 2026? Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...? Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Open Polymarket

World Cup: Germany Stage of Elimination

Top outcomes

Round of 16 52%
Other 50%
Round of 32 14%
Quarterfinals 14%

This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Germany is eliminated. If Germany wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Germany is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Germany based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

View on Polymarket
$68K Vol. Closes Jul 19, 2026

Live Polymarket Chart

Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

Open on Polymarket ↗

The chart is view-only. Use Open on Polymarket above to visit the market — no trading on this platform.

$68.2k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$68K Vol.

Round of 16

52% market probability

52%

Explain your Yes on Round of 16 Explain your No on Round of 16 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Other

50% market probability

50%

Explain your Yes on Other Explain your No on Other (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Round of 32

14% market probability

14%

Explain your Yes on Round of 32 Explain your No on Round of 32 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Quarterfinals

14% market probability

14%

Explain your Yes on Quarterfinals Explain your No on Quarterfinals (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Semifinals

10% market probability

10%

Explain your Yes on Semifinals Explain your No on Semifinals (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Final

6% market probability

6%

Explain your Yes on Final Explain your No on Final (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Champion

4% market probability

4%

Explain your Yes on Champion Explain your No on Champion (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Group Stage

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on Group Stage Explain your No on Group Stage (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Public forecast history

All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.

No forecasts yet. Be the first to place one.