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Will Xi Jinping visit US by...?

Top outcomes

December 31 97%
October 31 96%
September 30 92%
September 15 0%

If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

$840K Vol. Closes Jan 1, 2027

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$840.1k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$840K Vol.

December 31

97% market probability

97%

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0 / 2,000

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October 31

96% market probability

96%

Explain your Yes on October 31 Explain your No on October 31 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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September 30

92% market probability

92%

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0 / 2,000

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September 15

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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