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Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by ___?

Top outcomes

December 31, 2026 28%
December 31 0%

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if the USDC marketcap is equal to or greater than 50% of USDT marketcap on any day by December 31, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's "historical data" section for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/usd-coin/historical_data#panel and https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/tether/historical_data#panel respectively, specifically the daily "Market Cap" data. The daily market cap data for any given date will be considered finalized once data for the following calendar day is published on CoinGecko’s “Historical Data” page for both USDC and USDT. This market will resolve based on the specified CoinGecko chart, not according to other sources or spot markets.

$183K Vol. Closes Jan 1, 2027

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$183.1k Vol.

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Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$183K Vol.

December 31, 2026

28% market probability

28%

Explain your Yes on December 31, 2026 Explain your No on December 31, 2026 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

December 31

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on December 31 Explain your No on December 31 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

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