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Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? 2026 Men’s Wimbledon Winner US military action against Cuba by...? Colombia Presidential Election Where will Trump and Putin meet next? Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Will US withdraw from NATO by...? US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...? Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 World Cup: Golden Boot Winner US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...? Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch? Netanyahu out by...? Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...? Xi Jinping out before 2027? Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Largest Company end of June? Iran leader end of 2026?
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Will Tread launch a token by ___?

Top outcomes

December 31, 2027 91%
December 31, 2026 73%
September 30, 2026 48%
June 30, 2026 6%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tread officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Tread (https://www.tread.fi/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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$105K Vol. Closes Jan 1, 2028

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Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$105K Vol.

December 31, 2027

91% market probability

91%

Explain your Yes on December 31, 2027 Explain your No on December 31, 2027 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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December 31, 2026

73% market probability

73%

Explain your Yes on December 31, 2026 Explain your No on December 31, 2026 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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September 30, 2026

48% market probability

48%

Explain your Yes on September 30, 2026 Explain your No on September 30, 2026 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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June 30, 2026

6% market probability

6%

Explain your Yes on June 30, 2026 Explain your No on June 30, 2026 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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March 31, 2026

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on March 31, 2026 Explain your No on March 31, 2026 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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